YOUNG, CLIFFORD O.
R Β· house
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H6CA00063- Internal id
5705c217-890a-4e8d-b5ca-bd5eab3f9c36
Elections
No elections on file.
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.