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MCGUIRE, MIKE D · house
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FEC candidate id H6CA01269Internal id d2cced2f-a175-4392-a797-4e3891a79ef9Status challenger Who this candidate represents Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-01. Source .
Category Metric Value People Population 760,971 People Median age 38 Income Median household income $70,421 Income Per-capita income $36,617 Income In poverty 15.7% Income Unemployed 7.0% Income Gini inequality index 0.472 Race White alone 65.3% Race Black alone 1.9% Race Asian alone 6.1% Race Hispanic or Latino 23.7% Race Two or more races 15.6% Origin Foreign-born 10.8% Language Speaks English only at home 79.9% Language Speaks Spanish at home 14.0% Education High school or higher 49.7% Education Bachelor's or higher 23.6% Education Advanced degree 7.6% Household Family households 63.8% Household Avg household size 2.59 Household Never married (15+) 33.8% Housing Median home value $380,200 Housing Median gross rent $1,327 Housing Single-family detached 68.5% Housing Built before 1940 4.6% Housing Overcrowded (>1 per room) 4.3% Housing Vacant units 10.7% Service Veterans (18+) 7.4% Health With a disability 16.6% Connectivity Households with broadband 90.6% Connectivity Households with no internet 7.0% Commute Drove alone 75.0% Commute Public transit 0.5% Commute Worked from home 10.1%
Cycle financials Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
Cycle Raised Spent Cash on hand Debts Indiv. contribs. 2026 $990,566 $510,516 $480,051 $0 $863,466
Elections 2026 general house · CA-1 — running Committees Election prediction Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
Feature Δ P(win) Base rate (historical) 15.1% D (major party) +10.0%
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk ).
Cycle Support Oppose IEs 2026 $102,006 $0 2
Recent (latest 25) Transfers from committees Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Date From committee Type Amount 2026-03-30 STATE BUILDING & CONSTRUCTION TRADES COUNCIL OF… 24K $1,500 2026-03-30 STATE BUILDING & CONSTRUCTION TRADES COUNCIL OF… 24K $3,500 2026-03-18 FIDELITY NATIONAL FINANCIAL INC PAC 2001 24K $5,000 2026-03-17 NATIONAL UNION OF HEALTHCARE WORKERS FEDERAL CO… 24K $5,000 2026-03-16 YOLO COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE - FEDE… 24K $500 2026-03-12 AMERICAN HOSPITAL ASSOCIATION PAC 24K $5,000 2026-03-12 MAKE IT IN AMERICA PAC 24K $2,000 2026-03-09 INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS… 24K $5,000 2026-02-26 AMERICA'S CREDIT UNIONS PAC OF CREDIT UNION NAT… 24K $5,000 2026-02-23 LABORERS' INTERNATIONAL UNION OF NORTH AMERICA … 24K $2,500 2026-02-09 INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF SHEET METAL, AIR, … 24K $2,500 2026-02-06 NATIONAL NURSES UNITED PAC - A FUND FOR A HEALT… 24K $1,000 2026-02-06 NATIONAL NURSES UNITED PAC - A FUND FOR A HEALT… 24K $2,000 2026-02-02 PACE OF CALIFORNIA SCHOOL EMPLOYEES ASSOCIATION… 24K $5,000 2026-02-02 UA UNION PLUMBERS & PIPEFITTERS VOTE! PAC (UNIT… 24K $5,000 2026-01-22 SMART TD PAC 24K $2,500 2026-01-13 MACHINISTS NON PARTISAN POLITICAL LEAGUE OF THE… 24K $5,000 2025-12-26 SEIU COPE (SERVICE EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNIO… 24K $5,000 2025-12-23 NATIONAL NURSES UNITED PAC - A FUND FOR A HEALT… 24K $3,000 2025-12-19 PROFESSIONAL ENGINEERS IN CALIFORNIA GOVERNMENT… 24K $2,500 2025-12-17 INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF FIREFIGHTERS INTER… 24K $5,000 2025-12-17 CARPENTERS LEGISLATIVE IMPROVEMENT COMMITTEE UN… 24K $5,000 2025-12-12 PETE AGUILAR FOR CONGRESS 24K $2,000 2025-12-11 SEIU COPE (SERVICE EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNIO… 24K $5,000 2025-12-03 BLUE WARRIORS 24K $1,000
Connected on the graph Inbound (30) date from type amount role source 2026-05-11 NATIONAL NURSES UNITED FOR PATIENT PROTECTION supports_independently $14,256 fec_ies 2026-05-05 NATIONAL NURSES UNITED FOR PATIENT PROTECTION supports_independently $87,750 fec_ies 2026-03-30 STATE BUILDING & CONSTRUCTION TRADES COUNCIL OF CALIFORNIA FEDERAL PAC contributed_to $1,500 pas2 2026-03-30 STATE BUILDING & CONSTRUCTION TRADES COUNCIL OF CALIFORNIA FEDERAL PAC contributed_to $3,500 pas2 2026-03-18 FIDELITY NATIONAL FINANCIAL INC PAC 2001 contributed_to $5,000 pas2 2026-03-17 NATIONAL UNION OF HEALTHCARE WORKERS FEDERAL COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATION contributed_to $5,000 pas2 2026-03-16 YOLO COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE - FEDERAL ACCOUNT contributed_to $500 pas2 2026-03-12 MAKE IT IN AMERICA PAC contributed_to $2,000 pas2 2026-03-12 AMERICAN HOSPITAL ASSOCIATION PAC contributed_to $5,000 pas2 2026-03-09 INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE contributed_to $5,000 pas2 2026-02-26 AMERICA'S CREDIT UNIONS PAC OF CREDIT UNION NATIONAL ASSOCIATION, INC. contributed_to $5,000 pas2 2026-02-23 LABORERS' INTERNATIONAL UNION OF NORTH AMERICA (LIUNA) PAC contributed_to $2,500 pas2 2026-02-09 INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF SHEET METAL, AIR, RAIL AND TRANSPORTATION WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION LEAGUE contributed_to $2,500 pas2 2026-02-06 NATIONAL NURSES UNITED PAC - A FUND FOR A HEALTHY AMERICA contributed_to $2,000 pas2 2026-02-06 NATIONAL NURSES UNITED PAC - A FUND FOR A HEALTHY AMERICA contributed_to $1,000 pas2 2026-02-02 PACE OF CALIFORNIA SCHOOL EMPLOYEES ASSOCIATION - LOCAL, STATE, FEDERAL CANDIDATES contributed_to $5,000 pas2 2026-02-02 UA UNION PLUMBERS & PIPEFITTERS VOTE! PAC (UNITED ASSOCIATION OF JOURNEYMEN AND APPRENTICES OF THE PLUMBING & PIPEFITTING INDUSTRY OF THE UNITED STATES AND CANADA) contributed_to $5,000 pas2 2026-01-22 SMART TD PAC contributed_to $2,500 pas2 2026-01-13 MACHINISTS NON PARTISAN POLITICAL LEAGUE OF THE INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF MACHINISTS & AEROSPACE WORKERS contributed_to $5,000 pas2 2025-12-26 SEIU COPE (SERVICE EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNION COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATION) contributed_to $5,000 pas2 2025-12-23 NATIONAL NURSES UNITED PAC - A FUND FOR A HEALTHY AMERICA contributed_to $3,000 pas2 2025-12-19 PROFESSIONAL ENGINEERS IN CALIFORNIA GOVERNMENT FEDERAL PAC (PECG FED-PAC) contributed_to $2,500 pas2 2025-12-17 CARPENTERS LEGISLATIVE IMPROVEMENT COMMITTEE UNITED BROTHERHOOD OF CARPENTERS AND JOINERS contributed_to $5,000 pas2 2025-12-17 INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF FIREFIGHTERS INTERESTED IN REGISTRATION AND EDUCATION PAC contributed_to $5,000 pas2 2025-12-12 PETE AGUILAR FOR CONGRESS contributed_to $2,000 pas2 2025-12-11 SEIU COPE (SERVICE EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNION COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATION) contributed_to $5,000 pas2 2025-12-03 BLUE WARRIORS contributed_to $1,000 pas2 2025-11-18 INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE contributed_to $5,000 pas2 2025-11-10 NATIONAL UNION OF HEALTHCARE WORKERS FEDERAL COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATION contributed_to $5,000 pas2 2025-11-04 SUPPORTERS OF OPERATING ENGINEERS LOCAL UNION #3 ENDORSED CANDIDATES contributed_to $5,000 pas2
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