BABB TOMLINSON, LAUREN

D · house

FEC candidate id: H6CA06276
Internal id: 5aef45ad-8515-4f10-87ff-0ad131d92982
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-06. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	757,721
People	Median age	37
Income	Median household income	$86,309
Income	Per-capita income	$41,084
Income	In poverty	13.1%
Income	Unemployed	6.9%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.442
Race	White alone	50.8%
Race	Black alone	9.2%
Race	Asian alone	12.5%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	23.4%
Race	Two or more races	15.3%
Origin	Foreign-born	22.0%
Language	Speaks English only at home	67.8%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	12.5%
Education	High school or higher	54.6%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	30.9%
Education	Advanced degree	10.9%
Household	Family households	65.7%
Household	Avg household size	2.72
Household	Never married (15+)	36.0%
Housing	Median home value	$485,200
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,756
Housing	Single-family detached	60.9%
Housing	Built before 1940	3.0%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	6.8%
Housing	Vacant units	4.8%
Service	Veterans (18+)	5.9%
Health	With a disability	13.8%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	94.2%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	3.7%
Commute	Drove alone	68.1%
Commute	Public transit	1.1%
Commute	Worked from home	18.2%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$375,383	$179,850	$195,533	$0	$312,582

Elections

2026 general house · CA-6 — running

Committees

LBT FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2026	$1,219,756	$0	17

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	VPP	support	$55,996	Direct Mail Advertising
2026-05-14	EDW ACTION FUND	support	$751	Direct Mail Advertising
2026-05-14	EDW ACTION FUND	support	$3,400	Direct Mail Advertising
2026-05-14	EDW ACTION FUND	support	$11,055	Direct Mail Advertising
2026-05-13	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	support	$2,061	Voter Guide
2026-04-30	LEADERS WE DESERVE	support	$360,000	Digital Advertising
2026-04-30	LEADERS WE DESERVE	support	$1,030	In-Kind - Mailing List Data - Non-Contribution Account
2026-04-30	LEADERS WE DESERVE	support	$21,274	Direct Mail Production - Non-Contribution Account
2026-04-30	LEADERS WE DESERVE	support	$15,000	Media Production
2026-04-30	LEADERS WE DESERVE	support	$25,349	Postage - Non-Contribution Account
2026-04-28	CRUSH MAGA PAC	support	$165,070	Production and TV Placement (Estimate)
2026-04-28	CRUSH MAGA PAC	support	$165,070	Production and TV Placement
2026-04-27	CRUSH MAGA PAC	support	$45,962	Production and Direct Mail Placement (Estimate)
2026-04-27	CRUSH MAGA PAC	support	$91,277	Production and Direct Mail Placement (Estimate)
2026-04-27	CRUSH MAGA PAC	support	$45,962	Production and Direct Mail Placement
2026-04-10	VPP	support	$35,499	Direct Mail Advertising
2026-04-09	ROLLING SEA ACTION FUND	support	$175,000	Media production and ad buy

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2026-03-31	VOTE MAMA	24K	$5,000
2026-03-20	MILK RIVER PAC	24K	$2,000
2026-02-26	SECURING A KINDER DEMOCRACY PAC	24K	$1,000
2025-12-24	DEFEAT EXTREMISTS	24K	$1,000
2025-12-18	LEADERS WE DESERVE	24K	$5,000
2025-12-16	CONGRESSIONAL BLACK CAUCUS PAC	24K	$5,000
2025-12-09	PROFESSIONAL ENGINEERS IN CALIFORNIA GOVERNMENT…	24K	$100
2025-11-26	VOTE MAMA	24K	$3,500
2025-11-21	VOTE MAMA	24K	$5,000
2025-11-20	VPP	24K	$5,000
2025-11-20	VPP	24K	$5,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (28)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	VPP	supports_independently	$55,996	fec_ies
2026-05-14	EDW ACTION FUND	supports_independently	$751	fec_ies
2026-05-14	EDW ACTION FUND	supports_independently	$3,400	fec_ies
2026-05-14	EDW ACTION FUND	supports_independently	$11,055	fec_ies
2026-05-13	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	supports_independently	$2,061	fec_ies
2026-04-30	LEADERS WE DESERVE	supports_independently	$360,000	fec_ies
2026-04-30	LEADERS WE DESERVE	supports_independently	$1,030	fec_ies
2026-04-30	LEADERS WE DESERVE	supports_independently	$21,274	fec_ies
2026-04-30	LEADERS WE DESERVE	supports_independently	$15,000	fec_ies
2026-04-30	LEADERS WE DESERVE	supports_independently	$25,349	fec_ies
2026-04-28	CRUSH MAGA PAC	supports_independently	$165,070	fec_ies
2026-04-28	CRUSH MAGA PAC	supports_independently	$165,070	fec_ies
2026-04-27	CRUSH MAGA PAC	supports_independently	$45,962	fec_ies
2026-04-27	CRUSH MAGA PAC	supports_independently	$91,277	fec_ies
2026-04-27	CRUSH MAGA PAC	supports_independently	$45,962	fec_ies
2026-04-10	VPP	supports_independently	$35,499	fec_ies
2026-04-09	ROLLING SEA ACTION FUND	supports_independently	$175,000	fec_ies
2026-03-31	VOTE MAMA	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-20	MILK RIVER PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2026-02-26	SECURING A KINDER DEMOCRACY PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-12-24	DEFEAT EXTREMISTS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-12-18	LEADERS WE DESERVE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-12-16	CONGRESSIONAL BLACK CAUCUS PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-12-09	PROFESSIONAL ENGINEERS IN CALIFORNIA GOVERNMENT FEDERAL PAC (PECG FED-PAC)	contributed_to	$100	pas2
2025-11-26	VOTE MAMA	contributed_to	$3,500	pas2
2025-11-21	VOTE MAMA	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-11-20	VPP	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-11-20	VPP	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	LBT FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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