JOYCE, JAMIE
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6CA12209- Internal id
bff8d26d-7ae2-4540-a645-2ebac5a527cf- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-12. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 748,393 |
| People | Median age | 38 |
| Income | Median household income | $108,648 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $65,260 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.509 |
| Race | White alone | 35.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 15.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 20.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 23.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 13.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 27.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 60.9% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 17.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 67.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 54.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 25.6% |
| Household | Family households | 54.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.45 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 44.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $1,019,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,133 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 42.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 9.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 6.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 3.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.1% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 44.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 11.7% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 28.5% |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· CA-12 Β· 2026-11-03 β running
Committees
- JAMIE JOYCE FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | JAMIE JOYCE FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |