COX, TJ
D Β· house Β· bioguide C001124
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- FEC candidate id
H6CA19113- Internal id
c173f2f6-9608-4851-ba39-bb292fe86bed- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-21. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 758,000 |
| People | Median age | 32 |
| Income | Median household income | $64,764 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $26,800 |
| Income | In poverty | 21.9% |
| Income | Unemployed | 10.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.463 |
| Race | White alone | 29.3% |
| Race | Black alone | 4.6% |
| Race | Asian alone | 9.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 65.0% |
| Race | Two or more races | 27.1% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 21.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 49.5% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 42.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 42.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 17.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 5.5% |
| Household | Family households | 72.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 3.25 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 43.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $334,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,293 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 66.9% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 6.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 13.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 4.9% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 3.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 87.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 72.7% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 8.8% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | $15,353 | $15,230 | $213 | $56,000 | $0 |
| 2006 | $886,178 | $886,089 | $89 | $67,831 | $239,965 |
Elections
Committees
- TJ COX CONGRESSIONAL CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE β principal Β· type H
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-02-03 | INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF TEAMSTERS | 24F | $183 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (2)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-02-03 | INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF TEAMSTERS | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $183 | 24F | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-02-03 | INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF TEAMSTERS | contributed_to | $183 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | TJ COX CONGRESSIONAL CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |