RIOS, LORENZO
R · house
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- FEC candidate id
H6CA21234- Internal id
4a5b8d20-4530-49cb-8e97-aa20300e36a8- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-21. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 758,000 |
| People | Median age | 32 |
| Income | Median household income | $64,764 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $26,800 |
| Income | In poverty | 21.9% |
| Income | Unemployed | 10.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.463 |
| Race | White alone | 29.3% |
| Race | Black alone | 4.6% |
| Race | Asian alone | 9.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 65.0% |
| Race | Two or more races | 27.1% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 21.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 49.5% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 42.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 42.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 17.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 5.5% |
| Household | Family households | 72.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 3.25 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 43.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $334,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,293 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 66.9% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 6.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 13.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 4.9% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 3.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 87.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 72.7% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 8.8% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $385,587 | $299,489 | $86,098 | $64,458 | $355,589 |
Elections
- 2026 general house · CA-21 — running
Committees
- LORENZO RIOS FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | REFORM LEADERS PAC | 24E | $200 |
| 2025-11-18 | EXCHANGE CONTRACTORS FEDERAL PAC | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2025-09-19 | JOHN DUARTE FOR CONGRESS | 24K | $2,000 |
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee LORENZO RIOS FOR CONGRESS.
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
| Donor | Employer / occupation | City, ST | Gifts | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| THIEL, DOUGLAS | THIEL AIR CARE INC · OWNER | CHOWCHILLA, CA | 2 | $4,827 |
| RAYBORN, KENNETH | RETIRED · RETIRED | CLEVELAND, TN | 6 | $356 |
| ALSON, MARK | SIERRA IMAGING ASSOCIATES · PHYSICIAN | FRESNO, CA | 1 | $260 |
| HEITZ, MARK | RETIRED · RETIRED | TOPEKA, KS | 1 | $260 |
| KISTLER, MARTHA | TOTAL FINANCIAL · FINANCIAL ADVISOR | CHATTANOOGA, TN | 1 | $260 |
| FRYER, GARY | RETIRED · RETIRED | ORINDA, CA | 1 | $250 |
| COACHYS, RICH | RETIRED · RETIRED | CANTON, GA | 1 | $250 |
| MOORE, JANET ANN | — | LIVERMORE, CA | 1 | $250 |
| CORDERO, ALFONSO | RETIRED · RETIRED | IRVINE, CA | 2 | $208 |
| POTTER, RAYBURN | RETIRED · RETIRED | MIDLOTHIAN, VA | 6 | $140 |
| SWEENEY, JOSEPH | RETIRED · RETIRED | BOULDER CITY, NV | 1 | $104 |
| MILLER, THOMAS | RETIRED · RETIRED | FRESNO, CA | 1 | $104 |
| REYES, JOSE | REYES ELECTRICAL · CONTRACTOR | GLENDALE, CA | 1 | $104 |
| DOLLAR, JEFF | RETIRED · RETIRED | EAU CLAIRE, WI | 1 | $80 |
| WALKER, MADELINE | RETIRED · RETIRED | CLOVIS, CA | 1 | $78 |
| BEVER, DEBORAH | RETIRED · RETIRED | SPOKANE, WA | 1 | $78 |
| CRUISE, CLYDE | RETIRED · RETIRED | CLOVIS, CA | 1 | $52 |
| KENNEDY, ANDREW | LAMBDA ENERGY COMPANY LLC · PETROLEUM ENGINEER | KINGWOOD, TX | 1 | $52 |
| MCCOY, CHERIE | RETIRED · RETIRED | LEXINGTON, VA | 1 | $52 |
| REINKE, SHARON | RETIRED · RETIRED | FALLS CHURCH, VA | 1 | $52 |
| SLOAT, JANE | RETIRED · RETIRED | WASHINGTON, DC | 1 | $52 |
| JOHNSON, BRIAN | RETIRED · RETIRED | RENTON, WA | 1 | $41 |
| CURTIS, STEPHEN | STEPHEN P CURTIS ATTORNEY AT LAW PC · ATTORNEY | LOS RANCHOS, NM | 1 | $40 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (3)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | REFORM LEADERS PAC | contributed_to | $200 | pas2 | |
| 2025-11-18 | EXCHANGE CONTRACTORS FEDERAL PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-19 | JOHN DUARTE FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | principal_candidate_of | LORENZO RIOS FOR CONGRESS | — | candidate_committees |