MCCARTHY, KEVIN

R · house · bioguide M001165

FEC candidate id: H6CA22125
Internal id: 777c9c90-6a29-41a9-99f7-76518b86ccec
Status: incumbent

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-20. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	782,028
People	Median age	35
Income	Median household income	$90,346
Income	Per-capita income	$39,816
Income	In poverty	11.6%
Income	Unemployed	6.8%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.435
Race	White alone	54.9%
Race	Black alone	3.4%
Race	Asian alone	8.1%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	36.5%
Race	Two or more races	20.0%
Origin	Foreign-born	12.8%
Language	Speaks English only at home	73.7%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	18.3%
Education	High school or higher	53.5%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	29.1%
Education	Advanced degree	10.6%
Household	Family households	72.8%
Household	Avg household size	2.88
Household	Never married (15+)	33.2%
Housing	Median home value	$408,800
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,572
Housing	Single-family detached	75.1%
Housing	Built before 1940	2.3%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	4.7%
Housing	Vacant units	8.0%
Service	Veterans (18+)	7.0%
Health	With a disability	13.0%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	92.9%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	5.1%
Commute	Drove alone	77.8%
Commute	Public transit	0.3%
Commute	Worked from home	9.3%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$590,460	$1,565,353	$5,260,640	$0	$143
2024	$15,739,442	$14,991,918	$6,235,533	$0	$10,490,224
2022	$28,295,640	$27,609,763	$5,488,010	$0	$20,103,886
2020	$28,663,630	$25,148,570	$4,802,133	$77,732	$21,253,771
2018	$8,018,575	$8,249,322	$1,287,072	$10,000	$609,124
2016	$7,824,641	$8,161,454	$1,517,819	$10,000	$1,343,844
2014	$5,958,896	$5,935,084	$1,854,633	$10,000	$1,538,177
2012	$4,659,697	$3,993,706	$1,824,222	$0	$1,925,545
2010	$2,093,468	$1,736,571	$1,158,230	$9,416	$788,859
2008	$1,040,022	$709,692	$800,433	$9,381	$501,972
2006	$1,152,445	$682,342	$470,103	$11,718	$660,766

Elections

2006 general house · CA-20 — running
2006 general house · CA-22 — won
2008 general house · CA-22 — won
2008 general house · CA-20 — running
2010 general house · CA-22 — won
2010 general house · CA-20 — running
2012 general house · CA-23 — won
2012 general house · CA-20 — running
2014 general house · CA-23 — won
2014 general house · CA-20 — running
2016 general house · CA-23 — won
2016 general house · CA-20 — running
2018 general house · CA-23 — won
2018 general house · CA-20 — running
2020 general house · CA-20 — running
2020 general house · CA-23 — won
2022 general house · CA-20 — won
2024 general house · CA-20 — lost_general

Committees

CALIFORNIANS FOR A HOUSE MAJORITY — joint_fundraising · type N
FOUR AMIGOS JOINT COMMITTEE; THE — joint_fundraising · type N
KEVIN MCCARTHY FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H
MCCARTHY VICTORY FUND — joint_fundraising · type N
MCCARTHY VICTORY FUND — joint_fundraising · type N
MCCARTHY-WESTMORLAND JOINT COMMITTEE — principal · type H

Recent votes

2023-12-14 · Cong. 118 · house roll 724
YEA on HR 2365 — Dr. Emmanuel Bilirakis and Honorable Jennifer Wexton National Plan to End Parkinson’s Act
2023-12-14 · Cong. 118 · house roll 723
YEA on HR 2670 — National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2024
2023-12-14 · Cong. 118 · house roll 722
NAY on On Motion to Adjourn — Failed
2023-12-13 · Cong. 118 · house roll 721
YEA on HRES 927 — Condemning antisemitism on University campuses and the testimony of University Presidents in the House Committee on Education and the Workforce.
2023-12-13 · Cong. 118 · house roll 720
YEA on HRES 918 — Directing certain committees to continue their ongoing investigations as part of the existing House of Representatives inquiry into whether sufficient grounds exist for the House of Representatives to exercise its Constitutional power to impeach Joseph Biden, President of the United States of America, and for other purposes.
2023-12-13 · Cong. 118 · house roll 719
YEA on HRES 918 — Directing certain committees to continue their ongoing investigations as part of the existing House of Representatives inquiry into whether sufficient grounds exist for the House of Representatives to exercise its Constitutional power to impeach Joseph Biden, President of the United States of America, and for other purposes.
2023-12-13 · Cong. 118 · house roll 718
YEA on HR 1147 — Whole Milk for Healthy Kids Act of 2023
2023-12-12 · Cong. 118 · house roll 717
YEA on HR 357 — Ensuring Accountability in Agency Rulemaking Act
2023-12-12 · Cong. 118 · house roll 716
NAY on HR 357 — Ensuring Accountability in Agency Rulemaking Act
2023-12-12 · Cong. 118 · house roll 715
YEA on HR 4531 — Support for Patients and Communities Reauthorization Act

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 99.0%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
incumbent	+78.0%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$0	$49,842	3

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	THE LINCOLN PROJECT	oppose	$3,008	Ad Production
2022-10-05	THE LINCOLN PROJECT	oppose	$4,333	TV Ad Buy
2022-10-05	THE LINCOLN PROJECT	oppose	$42,500	Digital Ad Buy

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
—	THE LINCOLN PROJECT	24A	$3,008
2025-12-29	THE WENDYS COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$-5,000
2025-11-20	ANHEUSER-BUSCH COMPANIES LLC POLITICAL ACTION C…	24K	$-5,000
2025-09-17	JOHNSON & JOHNSON POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$-2,500
2025-09-10	INSPIRE BRANDS INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$-2,500
2025-06-30	WELLS FARGO AND COMPANY EMPLOYEES GOOD GOVERNME…	24K	$-5,000
2025-06-27	DTE ENERGY COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$-2,500
2025-06-18	SOUTHERN COMPANY EMPLOYEES PAC	24K	$-5,000
2025-06-16	ARGENTUM'S SILVER PAC	24K	$-5,000
2025-06-06	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF INSURANCE AND FINANCIAL…	24K	$-5,000
2025-06-04	ZENECA INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (AZPAC)	24K	$1,000
2025-06-03	U.S. BANCORP FEDERAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$-5,000
2025-05-22	TRUCKING POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE OF THE AMER…	24K	$-5,000
2025-05-22	H&R BLOCK INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (BLOC…	24K	$-5,000
2025-05-21	AVANGRID POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$-2,500
2025-05-21	AMERICAN PROPERTY CASUALTY INSURANCE ASSOCIATIO…	24K	$-5,000
2025-05-20	AIR LINE PILOTS ASSOCIATION PAC	24K	$-5,000
2025-05-19	NEW MAJORITY FEDERAL PAC	24K	$-5,000
2025-04-21	CHS INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$-5,000
2022-12-31	WINRED	24K	$-3
2022-12-31	WINRED	24K	$-50
2022-12-31	WINRED	24K	$-25
2022-12-31	WINRED	24K	$-25
2022-12-31	WINRED	24K	$-5
2022-12-31	WINRED	24K	$-8

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	THE LINCOLN PROJECT	contributed_to	$3,008	pas2
—	THE LINCOLN PROJECT	opposes_independently	$3,008	fec_ies
2025-12-29	THE WENDYS COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2025-11-20	ANHEUSER-BUSCH COMPANIES LLC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2025-09-17	JOHNSON & JOHNSON POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-2,500	pas2
2025-09-10	INSPIRE BRANDS INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-2,500	pas2
2025-06-30	WELLS FARGO AND COMPANY EMPLOYEES GOOD GOVERNMENT FEDERAL FUND II	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2025-06-27	DTE ENERGY COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-2,500	pas2
2025-06-18	SOUTHERN COMPANY EMPLOYEES PAC	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2025-06-16	ARGENTUM'S SILVER PAC	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2025-06-06	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF INSURANCE AND FINANCIAL ADVISORS POLITICAL ACTION COMM	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2025-06-04	ZENECA INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (AZPAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-06-03	U.S. BANCORP FEDERAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2025-05-22	H&R BLOCK INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (BLOCKPAC)	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2025-05-22	TRUCKING POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE OF THE AMERICAN TRUCKING ASSOCIATIONS INC.	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2025-05-21	AMERICAN PROPERTY CASUALTY INSURANCE ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (INSURING AMERICA PAC)	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2025-05-21	AVANGRID POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-2,500	pas2
2025-05-20	AIR LINE PILOTS ASSOCIATION PAC	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2025-05-19	NEW MAJORITY FEDERAL PAC	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2025-04-21	CHS INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2022-12-31	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-31	WINRED	contributed_to	$-50	pas2
2022-12-31	WINRED	contributed_to	$-6	pas2
2022-12-31	WINRED	contributed_to	$-8	pas2
2022-12-31	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5	pas2
2022-12-31	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-12-31	WINRED	contributed_to	$-3	pas2
2022-12-31	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-50	pas2
2022-12-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-12-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-90	pas2
2022-12-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-12-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-12-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-50	pas2
2022-12-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-12-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-12-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-12-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-50	pas2
2022-12-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-12-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-12-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-99	pas2
2022-12-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-27	pas2
2022-12-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-12-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5	pas2
2022-12-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2	pas2
2022-12-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$-30	pas2
2022-12-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$-50	pas2
2022-12-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$-27	pas2
2022-12-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$-60	pas2
2022-12-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-12-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$-35	pas2
2022-12-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$-30	pas2
2022-12-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$-24	pas2
2022-12-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$-50	pas2
2022-12-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$-20	pas2
2022-12-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$-27	pas2
2022-12-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5	pas2
2022-12-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$-50	pas2
2022-12-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$-27	pas2
2022-12-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$-50	pas2
2022-12-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$-50	pas2
2022-12-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$-27	pas2
2022-12-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$-3	pas2
2022-12-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$-50	pas2
2022-12-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$-30	pas2
2022-12-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-12-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-15	pas2
2022-12-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-50	pas2
2022-12-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-50	pas2
2022-12-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-27	pas2
2022-12-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-50	pas2
2022-12-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-15	pas2
2022-12-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-49	pas2
2022-12-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-27	pas2
2022-12-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5	pas2
2022-12-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-4	pas2
2022-12-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-27	pas2
2022-12-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-12-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-49	pas2
2022-12-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5	pas2
2022-12-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-50	pas2
2022-12-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-50	pas2
2022-12-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-27	pas2
2022-12-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2

Outbound (6)

date	type	to	amount	source
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	FOUR AMIGOS JOINT COMMITTEE; THE	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	MCCARTHY VICTORY FUND	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	CALIFORNIANS FOR A HOUSE MAJORITY	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	MCCARTHY VICTORY FUND	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	KEVIN MCCARTHY FOR CONGRESS	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	MCCARTHY-WESTMORLAND JOINT COMMITTEE	—	candidate_committees

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