VARET, ESTHER KIM

D · house

FEC candidate id: H6CA40309
Internal id: 478eceec-e009-423a-a281-d464ae26bc94
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-40. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	753,713
People	Median age	42
Income	Median household income	$134,712
Income	Per-capita income	$63,094
Income	In poverty	7.1%
Income	Unemployed	5.0%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.445
Race	White alone	51.1%
Race	Black alone	1.8%
Race	Asian alone	20.4%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	25.2%
Race	Two or more races	16.4%
Origin	Foreign-born	25.2%
Language	Speaks English only at home	64.3%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	15.1%
Education	High school or higher	66.4%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	51.5%
Education	Advanced degree	19.9%
Household	Family households	73.9%
Household	Avg household size	2.79
Household	Never married (15+)	28.9%
Housing	Median home value	$988,100
Housing	Median gross rent	$2,640
Housing	Single-family detached	59.3%
Housing	Built before 1940	0.7%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	4.5%
Housing	Vacant units	3.9%
Service	Veterans (18+)	4.1%
Health	With a disability	9.4%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	96.4%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	2.2%
Commute	Drove alone	67.5%
Commute	Public transit	0.6%
Commute	Worked from home	21.7%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$2,741,343	$1,591,411	$1,149,932	$497,352	$2,103,636

Elections

2026 general house · CA-40 — running

Committees

ESTHER KIM VARET FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2026	$414,878	$0	8

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
2026-05-14	CALIFORNIA BLUE PAC	support	$1,282	P2P MMS MESSAGING / P2P SMS MESSAGING
2026-05-12	CALIFORNIA BLUE PAC	support	$60,000	MEDIA PLACEMENT / MEDIA PRODUCTION
2026-05-12	CALIFORNIA BLUE PAC	support	$2,606	P2P MMS MESSAGING / P2P SMS MESSAGING
2026-05-10	CALIFORNIA BLUE PAC	support	$2,614	P2P MMS MESSAGING / P2P SMS MESSAGING
2026-05-08	CALIFORNIA BLUE PAC	support	$2,824	P2P MMS MESSAGING / P2P SMS MESSAGING
2026-05-05	CALIFORNIA BLUE PAC	support	$12,000	MEDIA PRODUCTION
2026-05-05	CALIFORNIA BLUE PAC	support	$273,552	MEDIA PLACEMENT
2026-05-05	CALIFORNIA BLUE PAC	support	$60,000	MEDIA PLACEMENT

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2026-03-30	AT THE TABLE!	24K	$1,000
2026-02-06	LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS ACTION FUND	24K	$50
2025-06-18	VOTE MAMA	24K	$2,500
2025-06-04	VOTE MAMA	24K	$2,500
2025-06-02	ASPIRE PAC	24K	$5,000
2025-04-14	YOUTH SAVE DEMOCRACY PAC	24A	$3,238

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee ESTHER KIM VARET FOR CONGRESS.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

Donor	Employer / occupation	City, ST	Gifts	Total
ROGERS, JOHN	ARIEL INVESTMENTS · CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER	CHICAGO, IL	1	$2,000
CHAIKEN, JULIE	DAVIDON HOMES · CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER	BELVEDERE TIBURON, CA	1	$1,000
GOLD, LESLIE	N/A · NOT EMPLOYED	WINCHESTER, MA	2	$800
NORRIS, PETER	N/A · NOT EMPLOYED	CHILMARK, MA	2	$435
GREENFIELD, PATRICIA	PYPER, LLC · ACCOUNTING	CROWLEY, TX	1	$250
WEINBERG, PAUL	PAUL WEINBERG · COMPUTER TECHNICIAN	LOS ANGELES, CA	1	$250
NORSTROM, MICHELLE	N/A · NOT EMPLOYED	LEXINGTON, KY	1	$250
ABDOULAH, COLLEEN	N/A · NOT EMPLOYED	DENVER, CO	1	$250
STEINBERGER, RUTH	N/A · NOT EMPLOYED	LOS ANGELES, CA	4	$250
LEWIS, VALERAE	MD ANDERSON · PHYSICIAN	HOUSTON, TX	1	$200
CLEEVE, COLEEN	N/A · NOT EMPLOYED	ITHACA, NY	1	$200
MILLER, INGER	N/A · NOT EMPLOYED	COLLEYVILLE, TX	2	$150
PATMOS, MARGARET	N/A · NOT EMPLOYED	HUDSONVILLE, MI	1	$100
HARDING, MICHAEL	N/A · NOT EMPLOYED	CLAYTON, CA	5	$100
GARRETT, RICK	TAX OFFICE OF RICK GARRETT · TAX PREPARER	UPLAND, CA	1	$100
PITTMAN, RUSSELL	U.S. DEPARTMENT OF JUSTICE · ECONOMIST	TAKOMA PARK, MD	1	$100
GARNETT, JOHN	UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA · PROFESSOR	LOS ANGELES, CA	1	$100
STRATTON, STEVEN	N/A · NOT EMPLOYED	TRABUCO CANYON, CA	2	$75
COPELAND, HAROLD D.	N/A · NOT EMPLOYED	HOUSTON, TX	2	$75
LABOE, NORMAN	N/A · NOT EMPLOYED	SAN FRANCISCO, CA	5	$70
MONDER, STEVEN	N/A · NOT EMPLOYED	CLEVELAND, OH	3	$60
BEAUCHAMP, PHILIP	N/A · NOT EMPLOYED	CHINO HILLS, CA	1	$50
ELLISTON, CHARLES	N/A · NOT EMPLOYED	BRIGHTON, CO	1	$50
DIAZ, ANGEL	MICROSOFT · SOFTWARE ENGINEER	MISSION VIEJO, CA	1	$50
MARK-WALKER, CHARLES	SANTA MONICA COLLEGE · DESIGN	LOS ANGELES, CA	2	$50

Connected on the graph

Inbound (14)

date	from	type	amount	source
2026-05-14	CALIFORNIA BLUE PAC	supports_independently	$1,282	fec_ies
2026-05-12	CALIFORNIA BLUE PAC	supports_independently	$2,606	fec_ies
2026-05-12	CALIFORNIA BLUE PAC	supports_independently	$60,000	fec_ies
2026-05-10	CALIFORNIA BLUE PAC	supports_independently	$2,614	fec_ies
2026-05-08	CALIFORNIA BLUE PAC	supports_independently	$2,824	fec_ies
2026-05-05	CALIFORNIA BLUE PAC	supports_independently	$60,000	fec_ies
2026-05-05	CALIFORNIA BLUE PAC	supports_independently	$12,000	fec_ies
2026-05-05	CALIFORNIA BLUE PAC	supports_independently	$273,552	fec_ies
2026-03-30	AT THE TABLE!	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2026-02-06	LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$50	pas2
2025-06-18	VOTE MAMA	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2025-06-04	VOTE MAMA	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2025-06-02	ASPIRE PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-04-14	YOUTH SAVE DEMOCRACY PAC	contributed_to	$3,238	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	ESTHER KIM VARET FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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