RIKER, BRANDON

D · house

FEC candidate id: H6CA41265
Internal id: b691e364-0971-40d4-926f-d8d176a2aac4
Status: open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-48. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	760,621
People	Median age	40
Income	Median household income	$113,202
Income	Per-capita income	$47,913
Income	In poverty	8.2%
Income	Unemployed	5.5%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.418
Race	White alone	58.1%
Race	Black alone	3.3%
Race	Asian alone	6.9%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	30.7%
Race	Two or more races	18.8%
Origin	Foreign-born	16.9%
Language	Speaks English only at home	72.4%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	18.8%
Education	High school or higher	56.3%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	34.8%
Education	Advanced degree	12.4%
Household	Family households	75.9%
Household	Avg household size	2.95
Household	Never married (15+)	29.7%
Housing	Median home value	$735,700
Housing	Median gross rent	$2,181
Housing	Single-family detached	69.6%
Housing	Built before 1940	1.4%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	5.2%
Housing	Vacant units	5.1%
Service	Veterans (18+)	8.7%
Health	With a disability	11.9%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	95.3%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	3.0%
Commute	Drove alone	71.4%
Commute	Public transit	0.6%
Commute	Worked from home	16.8%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$1,907,004	$817,190	$1,089,814	$856,383	$954,566

Elections

2026 general house · CA-48 — running

Committees

RIKER FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2026	$114,075	$0	3

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
2026-05-06	UPSET THE SETUP	support	$46,916	Direct Mail Production & Postage
2026-05-01	UPSET THE SETUP	support	$44,895	Direct Mail Production & Postage
2026-04-23	UPSET THE SETUP	support	$22,264	Direct Mail Production & Postage

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
—	BLUE MAJORITY PROJECT	24E	$500
—	BLUE DEMOCRACY NETWORK	24E	$1,012
—	DEMOCRATIC FUTURE PAC	24E	$1,000
—	DEMOCRATIC FUTURE PAC	24E	$1,600
2026-02-09	BLUE MAJORITY PROJECT	24E	$500
2026-01-13	INTERNATIONAL LONGSHORE AND WAREHOUSE UNION -- …	24K	$1,000
2025-12-23	BLUE MAJORITY PROJECT	24E	$2,810
2025-12-19	LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS ACTION FUND	24K	$50
2025-10-29	BLUE MAJORITY PROJECT	24E	$10,150
2025-06-27	BLUE MAJORITY PROJECT	24E	$10,000
2025-06-05	BLUE MAJORITY PROJECT	24E	$6,500
2025-05-22	BLUE MAJORITY PROJECT	24E	$5,000

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee RIKER FOR CONGRESS.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

Donor	Employer / occupation	City, ST	Gifts	Total
TURNER, DEBORAH	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	HAVRE DE GRACE, MD	1	$3,000
ALLEN, JAY	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	PALM SPRINGS, CA	1	$1,000
WAX, ROBERT M	KWB · HEADHUNTER	WESTPORT, MA	1	$500
CROUSE, TOM	NOT EMPLOYED · RETIRED	WALPOLE, NH	1	$500
KASSOY, ARNOLD	SELF EMPLOYED · ATTORNEY	PALM SPRINGS, CA	1	$500
WALKER, THOMAS	INSPIRE · EXECUTIVE PRODUCER EVENTS	RANCHO MIRAGE, CA	1	$500
DOOMANY, GEORGE	ANDLINGER & CO · FINANCE SPECIALIST	PALM SPRINGS, CA	1	$500
GRASSER, RALPH SCOTT	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	PALM SPRINGS, CA	1	$500
CARTER, BRAD	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	CATHEDRAL CITY, CA	1	$500
GOLD, LESLIE	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	WINCHESTER, MA	2	$380
PERETZ, ANNE	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	CAMBRIDGE, MA	1	$250
JOHNSON, CARL	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	PALM SPRINGS, CA	1	$250
KNEPPER, KATHLEEN	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	ROCKVILLE, MD	1	$250
WALKER, JOHN	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	PALM SPRINGS, CA	1	$250
DUFFY, BRIAN	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	RANCHO MIRAGE, CA	1	$200
LOWRY, PATRICK	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	RANCHO MIRAGE, CA	1	$200
MCCLOUD, PEGGY	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	LOS ANGELES, CA	1	$200
TREJO, CATHERINE	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	RANCHO MIRAGE, CA	2	$160
CAMACHO, STEVEN	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	PALM SPRINGS, CA	1	$100
DILLON, CATHERINE	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	PALM SPRINGS, CA	1	$100
RANDOLPH, MARJORIE	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	BERKELEY, CA	1	$100
ROSOFF, HOWARD	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	BEVERLY HILLS, CA	1	$100
MIGUEL, BARRY	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	PALM SPRINGS, CA	1	$100
MORTER, CHRISTOPHER	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	ATLANTA, GA	1	$100
GREEN, LORI	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	RANCHO MIRAGE, CA	2	$100

Connected on the graph

Inbound (15)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	BLUE DEMOCRACY NETWORK	contributed_to	$1,012	pas2
—	BLUE MAJORITY PROJECT	contributed_to	$500	pas2
—	DEMOCRATIC FUTURE PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
—	DEMOCRATIC FUTURE PAC	contributed_to	$1,600	pas2
2026-05-06	UPSET THE SETUP	supports_independently	$46,916	fec_ies
2026-05-01	UPSET THE SETUP	supports_independently	$44,895	fec_ies
2026-04-23	UPSET THE SETUP	supports_independently	$22,264	fec_ies
2026-02-09	BLUE MAJORITY PROJECT	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2026-01-13	INTERNATIONAL LONGSHORE AND WAREHOUSE UNION -- POLITICAL ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-12-23	BLUE MAJORITY PROJECT	contributed_to	$2,810	pas2
2025-12-19	LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$50	pas2
2025-10-29	BLUE MAJORITY PROJECT	contributed_to	$10,150	pas2
2025-06-27	BLUE MAJORITY PROJECT	contributed_to	$10,000	pas2
2025-06-05	BLUE MAJORITY PROJECT	contributed_to	$6,500	pas2
2025-05-22	BLUE MAJORITY PROJECT	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	RIKER FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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