NAVARRO, OMAR
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6CA44145- Internal id
19eb62c1-aea7-4749-a0a5-df09c09d5274- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-43. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 729,891 |
| People | Median age | 36 |
| Income | Median household income | $75,699 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $31,737 |
| Income | In poverty | 16.9% |
| Income | Unemployed | 8.4% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.447 |
| Race | White alone | 12.4% |
| Race | Black alone | 22.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 9.1% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 58.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 24.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 32.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 41.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 49.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 47.0% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 22.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 6.8% |
| Household | Family households | 70.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 3.12 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 46.5% |
| Housing | Median home value | $699,300 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,762 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 46.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 14.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 15.9% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 5.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 2.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 70.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 4.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 9.9% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $100 | $104 | $0 | $0 | $100 |
| 2022 | $85,998 | $88,752 | $4 | $25 | $82,137 |
| 2020 | $741,075 | $904,365 | $2,759 | $3,640 | $711,367 |
| 2018 | $1,173,124 | $1,045,290 | $127,836 | $2,045 | $1,154,324 |
| 2016 | $2,846 | $3,196 | $2 | $0 | $2,846 |
Elections
- 2016 general house Β· CA-43 β lost_general
- 2018 general house Β· CA-43 β lost_general
- 2020 general house Β· CA-43 β lost_general
- 2022 general house Β· CA-43 β lost_general
Committees
- OMAR NAVARRO FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-12-20 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
| 2022-11-06 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
| 2022-10-13 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-07-12 | WINRED | 24K | $-1 |
| 2022-07-12 | WINRED | 24K | $-1 |
| 2022-04-21 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2021-12-24 | WINRED | 24K | $-250 |
| 2021-12-17 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2021-12-13 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2021-11-26 | WINRED | 24K | $-15 |
| 2021-09-16 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
| 2021-08-23 | WINRED | 24K | $-15 |
| 2021-05-05 | WINRED | 24K | $25 |
| 2021-05-05 | WINRED | 24K | $25 |
| 2021-05-01 | WINRED | 24K | $15 |
| 2021-04-30 | WINRED | 24K | $20 |
| 2021-04-21 | WINRED | 24K | $50 |
| 2021-04-20 | WINRED | 24K | $10 |
| 2021-04-11 | WINRED | 24K | $10 |
| 2021-03-23 | WINRED | 24K | $1 |
| 2021-03-21 | WINRED | 24K | $5 |
| 2021-03-20 | WINRED | 24K | $5 |
| 2021-03-18 | WINRED | 24K | $50 |
| 2021-03-10 | WINRED | 24K | $1 |
| 2021-03-10 | WINRED | 24K | $1 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (66)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-12-20 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-06 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-13 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-12 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-12 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-24 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-250 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-17 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-13 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-11-26 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-15 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-16 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2021-08-23 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-15 | pas2 | |
| 2021-05-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-05-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-05-05 | WINRED | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $25 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-05-05 | WINRED | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $25 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-05-01 | WINRED | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $15 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-05-01 | WINRED | contributed_to | $15 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-30 | WINRED | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $20 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-04-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $20 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $50 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-21 | WINRED | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $50 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-04-20 | WINRED | contributed_to | $10 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-20 | WINRED | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $10 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-04-11 | WINRED | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $10 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-04-11 | WINRED | contributed_to | $10 | pas2 | |
| 2021-03-23 | WINRED | contributed_to | $1 | pas2 | |
| 2021-03-23 | WINRED | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $1 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-03-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $5 | pas2 | |
| 2021-03-21 | WINRED | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $5 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-03-20 | WINRED | contributed_to | $5 | pas2 | |
| 2021-03-20 | WINRED | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $5 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-03-18 | WINRED | contributed_to | $50 | pas2 | |
| 2021-03-18 | WINRED | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $50 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-03-10 | WINRED | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $1 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-03-10 | WINRED | contributed_to | $1 | pas2 | |
| 2021-03-10 | WINRED | contributed_to | $1 | pas2 | |
| 2021-03-10 | WINRED | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $1 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-03-09 | WINRED | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $50 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-03-09 | WINRED | contributed_to | $50 | pas2 | |
| 2021-03-05 | WINRED | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $25 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-03-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-03-01 | WINRED | contributed_to | $15 | pas2 | |
| 2021-03-01 | WINRED | contributed_to | $15 | pas2 | |
| 2021-03-01 | WINRED | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $1 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-03-01 | WINRED | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $15 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-03-01 | WINRED | contributed_to | $1 | pas2 | |
| 2021-03-01 | WINRED | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $15 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-02-25 | WINRED | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $54 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-02-25 | WINRED | contributed_to | $54 | pas2 | |
| 2021-02-25 | WINRED | contributed_to | $25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-02-25 | WINRED | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $25 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-02-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $250 | pas2 | |
| 2021-02-21 | WINRED | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $250 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-02-20 | WINRED | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $2 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-02-20 | WINRED | contributed_to | $2 | pas2 | |
| 2021-02-16 | WINRED | contributed_to | $5,414 | pas2 | |
| 2021-02-16 | WINRED | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $5,414 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-02-15 | WINRED | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $15 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-02-15 | WINRED | contributed_to | $15 | pas2 | |
| 2021-02-15 | WINRED | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $50 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-02-15 | WINRED | contributed_to | $50 | pas2 | |
| 2021-02-01 | WINRED | contributed_to | $10 | pas2 | |
| 2021-02-01 | WINRED | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $10 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-01-26 | WINRED | contributed_to | $1 | pas2 | |
| 2021-01-26 | WINRED | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $1 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | OMAR NAVARRO FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |