CAVANAUGH, MATTHEW
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6CO05332- Internal id
4dabfdc5-b618-4ec7-9f4b-af926b37ed99- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CO-05. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 734,906 |
| People | Median age | 35 |
| Income | Median household income | $90,465 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $46,167 |
| Income | In poverty | 8.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.428 |
| Race | White alone | 70.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 5.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 18.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 14.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 7.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 88.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 7.1% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 42.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 16.9% |
| Household | Family households | 66.9% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.48 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 30.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $461,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,698 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 66.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.9% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 4.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 15.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 94.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 3.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 69.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 16.8% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $164,630 | $158,863 | $5,767 | $26,771 | $130,759 |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· CO-5 β running
Committees
- MATT FOR COLORADO β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | TIMBER PAC | 24K | $5,000 |
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee MATT FOR COLORADO.
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
| Donor | Employer / occupation | City, ST | Gifts | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COBOS, SARAH | FOUNTAIN FORT CARSON SCHOOL DISTRICT 8 Β· TEACHER | FOUNTAIN, CO | 1 | $250 |
| IVERSON, ERICA | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | ELKHORN, NE | 1 | $250 |
| KUBIAK, JEFFREY | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | CAVE CREEK, AZ | 1 | $250 |
| KUCERA, JOHN | SELF Β· REAL ESTATE | PARK CITY, UT | 1 | $250 |
| O'DRISCOLL, TOM | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | SUGAR LAND, TX | 1 | $250 |
| SKOE, ROD | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | BEMIDJI, MN | 1 | $250 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (1)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | TIMBER PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | MATT FOR COLORADO | β | candidate_committees |