RUTINEL, MANNY

D · house

FEC candidate id: H6CO08013
Internal id: a1bed8ee-5f5d-4e1b-b4a4-15c4a7aae83a
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CO-08. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	739,836
People	Median age	35
Income	Median household income	$94,617
Income	Per-capita income	$41,993
Income	In poverty	9.5%
Income	Unemployed	4.6%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.410
Race	White alone	62.5%
Race	Black alone	2.1%
Race	Asian alone	3.0%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	39.5%
Race	Two or more races	19.8%
Origin	Foreign-born	12.4%
Language	Speaks English only at home	75.1%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	21.0%
Education	High school or higher	56.5%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	29.8%
Education	Advanced degree	10.0%
Household	Family households	69.6%
Household	Avg household size	2.77
Household	Never married (15+)	32.7%
Housing	Median home value	$474,000
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,725
Housing	Single-family detached	65.8%
Housing	Built before 1940	1.5%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	3.5%
Housing	Vacant units	3.8%
Service	Veterans (18+)	6.2%
Health	With a disability	11.8%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	93.0%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	4.8%
Commute	Drove alone	71.4%
Commute	Public transit	1.1%
Commute	Worked from home	14.7%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$3,479,360	$1,714,128	$1,765,232	$0	$3,429,188

Elections

2026 general house · CO-8 — running

Committees

MANNY RUTINEL FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2026	$547,723	$215,099	11

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	PAF	support	$50,000	Digital Advertising
2026-05-21	WOMEN VOTE	oppose	$968	Media Production
2026-05-21	WOMEN VOTE	oppose	$7,146	Media Production
2026-05-14	LATINO VICTORY PROJECT	support	$250,000	Advertising - Digital Ad Buy
2026-05-11	WOMEN VOTE	oppose	$206,986	TV Media Buy
2026-05-04	LATINO VICTORY PROJECT	support	$26,574	Direct Mail Services
2026-05-01	LATINO VICTORY PROJECT	support	$26,574	Direct Mail Services
2026-04-25	LATINO VICTORY PROJECT	support	$18,000	Advertising - Digital
2026-04-23	LATINO VICTORY PROJECT	support	$85,000	Advertising - TV Ad Buy
2026-04-22	LATINO VICTORY PROJECT	support	$26,574	Direct Mail Services
2026-04-21	LATINO VICTORY PROJECT	support	$65,000	Advertising - Digital Ad Buy

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2026-03-20	RISING DEMS	24K	$3,500
2025-12-31	EMILY RANDALL FOR CONGRESS	24K	$1,000
2025-12-29	RESILIENT MAJORITY PAC	24K	$1,000
2025-12-23	DEMOCRATS RESHAPING AMERICA (DREAMPAC)	24K	$2,000
2025-12-19	LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS ACTION FUND	24K	$50
2025-12-15	LATINO VICTORY FUND	24K	$2,500
2025-11-05	CHC BOLD PAC	24K	$5,000
2025-09-29	314 ACTION FUND	24K	$5,000
2025-03-14	BLUE MOMENTUM PAC	24K	$5,000

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee MANNY RUTINEL FOR CONGRESS.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

Donor	Employer / occupation	City, ST	Gifts	Total
WILLETT, LUKA	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	WASHINGTON, DC	2	$7,000
FISHER, WILL	METROPOLITAN TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY · DIRECTOR	NEW YORK, NY	2	$5,000
COTTON, SHERY	—	GROSSE POINTE PARK, MI	1	$3,500
WUTCHIETT, CYNTHIA	WELLMP LLC · VETERINARY CONSULTANT	PAONIA, CO	1	$1,000
CHOCKALINGAM, KRISHAN	SELF EMPLOYED · SOFTWARE ENGINEER	NEW YORK, NY	1	$1,000
LINDSAY, DEBORAH	CROWN SERVICES · BUSINESS OWNER	COLUMBUS, OH	2	$750
ABARCA, MARCO ANTONIO	READY FOODS, INC. · CEO	DENVER, CO	1	$500
FASKEN, ANDY	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	PARIS, TX	1	$250
DUVALL, MARK	OPES ADVISORS · FINANCE	MENLO PARK, CA	1	$250
KEELEY, JOYCE	WAVE MOBILE MONEY · PRODUCT MANAGER	WASHINGTON, DC	1	$250
RYKEN, BEVERLY	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	DENVER, CO	1	$250
SPEIRN SMITH, ANNE CHRISTY	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	BOULDER, CO	1	$250
PARKER, SANDRA	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	DENVER, CO	2	$200
BENAVIDEZ, ADRIENNE	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	COMMERCE CITY, CO	1	$150
TAYLOR, MARSHA	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	EAST WENATCHEE, WA	2	$110
FERGUSON, KATE	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	DENVER, CO	1	$100
AYALA, SANDRA	LOS ANGELES UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT · EDUCATOR	SYLMAR, CA	1	$100
CONRAD, AUDREY	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	IVORYTON, CT	1	$100
CRAIGE, BRENDA	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	TULSA, OK	1	$100
LOPEZ, GUADALUPE	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	AUSTIN, TX	1	$100
CASALE, JAMES	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	STATEN ISLAND, NY	2	$100
CASTRO, KARLA	DXPE · CUSTOMER SALES MANAGER	GILCREST, CO	1	$100
HAAS, COLLEEN	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	SAUSALITO, CA	1	$100
BENIKE, CLAUDIA	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	PARADISE, CA	1	$100
GABERT, CHARLA	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	ALAMO, CA	1	$100

Connected on the graph

Inbound (20)

date	from	type	amount	source
2026-05-21	WOMEN VOTE	opposes_independently	$968	fec_ies
2026-05-21	WOMEN VOTE	opposes_independently	$7,146	fec_ies
—	PAF	supports_independently	$50,000	fec_ies
2026-05-14	LATINO VICTORY PROJECT	supports_independently	$250,000	fec_ies
2026-05-11	WOMEN VOTE	opposes_independently	$206,986	fec_ies
2026-05-04	LATINO VICTORY PROJECT	supports_independently	$26,574	fec_ies
2026-05-01	LATINO VICTORY PROJECT	supports_independently	$26,574	fec_ies
2026-04-25	LATINO VICTORY PROJECT	supports_independently	$18,000	fec_ies
2026-04-23	LATINO VICTORY PROJECT	supports_independently	$85,000	fec_ies
2026-04-22	LATINO VICTORY PROJECT	supports_independently	$26,574	fec_ies
2026-04-21	LATINO VICTORY PROJECT	supports_independently	$65,000	fec_ies
2026-03-20	RISING DEMS	contributed_to	$3,500	pas2
2025-12-31	EMILY RANDALL FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-12-29	RESILIENT MAJORITY PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-12-23	DEMOCRATS RESHAPING AMERICA (DREAMPAC)	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2025-12-19	LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$50	pas2
2025-12-15	LATINO VICTORY FUND	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2025-11-05	CHC BOLD PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-09-29	314 ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-03-14	BLUE MOMENTUM PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	MANNY RUTINEL FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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