KIRWAN, MICHAEL
D · house
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- FEC candidate id
H6FL04220- Internal id
9c07db79-f097-4df6-add0-0df4530fc580- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), FL-04. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 797,286 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $71,083 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $36,995 |
| Income | In poverty | 14.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.453 |
| Race | White alone | 54.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 30.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.7% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 9.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 7.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 89.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 6.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 58.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 27.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 9.0% |
| Household | Family households | 65.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.54 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 33.1% |
| Housing | Median home value | $285,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,359 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 69.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 12.3% |
| Health | With a disability | 15.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 72.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 14.1% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $511,695 | $285,240 | $226,454 | $0 | $393,767 |
Elections
- 2026 general house · FL-4 — running
Committees
- MICHAEL KIRWAN FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | DEFEAT EXTREMISTS | 24K | $2,000 |
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee MICHAEL KIRWAN FOR CONGRESS.
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
| Donor | Employer / occupation | City, ST | Gifts | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPOHRER, ROBERT | SPOHRER & DODD · ATTORNEY | JACKSONVILLE, FL | 1 | $3,500 |
| SPOHRER, HELEN | SELF EMPLOYED · ATTORNEY | JACKSONVILLE, FL | 1 | $3,500 |
| HOLZER, JANE | SELF · INVESTOR | PALM BEACH, FL | 1 | $1,000 |
| BESNER, BRAD | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | DAVIE, FL | 1 | $1,000 |
| MUSSER, KYLE | UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA · DEVELOPMENT DIRECTOR | JACKSONVILLE, FL | 1 | $1,000 |
| PLAISANCE, KAREN | NONE · RETIRED | MORAGA, CA | 1 | $1,000 |
| HAINLINE, THEODORE RONALD | ROGERS TOWERS PA · ATTORNEY | JACKSONVILLE, FL | 1 | $500 |
| COXE, HENRY | BEDELL DITTMAR LAW FIRM · ATTORNEY | JACKSONVILLE, FL | 1 | $500 |
| DRAKE, BARBARA JEAN | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | JACKSONVILLE, FL | 1 | $500 |
| EDELMAN, DANIEL MICHAEL | HERITAGE CAPITAL · INVESTMENT BANKER | JACKSONVILLE, FL | 1 | $500 |
| RICE, ALISON LYNN | RETIRED · RETIRED | JACKSONVILLE, FL | 1 | $500 |
| ANDERSON, NORMAN | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | JACKSONVILLE, FL | 1 | $250 |
| CAIRNS, SCOTT | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | JACKSONVILLE, FL | 1 | $250 |
| CLARK, ALLAN | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | JACKSONVILLE, FL | 1 | $250 |
| FERRELL, DANA LYNN | SELF EMPLOYED · HEALTHCARE ADMINISTRATOR | JACKSONVILLE, FL | 1 | $250 |
| HICKEY, KATHLEEN | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | QUECHEE, VT | 1 | $250 |
| KELLY, BROUGHTON | FELDKAMP MARKETING · CEO | PONTE VEDRA BEACH, FL | 1 | $250 |
| HAMMOCK, MARLENE | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | JACKSONVILLE, FL | 1 | $200 |
| VAUGHAN, ALAN | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | POMPANO BEACH, FL | 2 | $75 |
| COOKSEY III, BRYAN | MCCALL PEST AND WILDLIFE · AMBASSADOR | JACKSONVILLE, FL | 1 | $25 |
| COLLINS, JOSEPH M | SELF EMPLOYED · WRITER | FERNANDINA BEACH, FL | 1 | $25 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (1)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | DEFEAT EXTREMISTS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | principal_candidate_of | MICHAEL KIRWAN FOR CONGRESS | — | candidate_committees |