BAKER, AARON
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6FL06241- Internal id
02220cc8-4cf4-4308-baa3-5b8056440fdc- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), FL-06. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 816,594 |
| People | Median age | 48 |
| Income | Median household income | $64,612 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $37,287 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.7% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.465 |
| Race | White alone | 72.6% |
| Race | Black alone | 11.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 13.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 10.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 8.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 87.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 8.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 57.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 25.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 9.0% |
| Household | Family households | 63.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.33 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 27.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $283,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,337 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 63.1% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 14.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 10.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 17.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 72.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 14.0% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $95,725 | $95,163 | $555 | $11,404 | $48,214 |
Elections
- 2025 general house Β· FL-6 β lost_general
Committees
- AARON 4 FL β principal Β· type H
- AARON 4 FL 6 β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee AARON 4 FL.
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
| Donor | Employer / occupation | City, ST | Gifts | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLEMENTS, MATTHEW | KLLM Β· TRUCK DRIVER | MULGA, AL | 2 | $2,082 |
| ABUTAA, ADAM | EMGAGE ACTION FL Β· ORGANIZING MANAGER | POMPANO BEACH, FL | 2 | $2,082 |
| BONIN, JUDY | SELF Β· SELF | STAUNTON, VA | 26 | $650 |
| DISTEFANO, YOUMNA | SELF Β· PHYSICIAN | FORT LAUDERDALE, FL | 1 | $500 |
| BLEMASTER, GARY | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | NAPLES, FL | 6 | $240 |
| HANIFIL, DARREN | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | EXCELSIOR, MN | 4 | $160 |
| SMITH, DAVID | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | ORMOND BEACH, FL | 1 | $100 |
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | AARON 4 FL 6 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | AARON 4 FL | β | candidate_committees |