BAKER, AARON

R · house

FEC candidate id: H6FL06324
Internal id: e8718f73-54f6-43ee-a1a6-c1655b7a21c4
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), FL-06. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	816,594
People	Median age	48
Income	Median household income	$64,612
Income	Per-capita income	$37,287
Income	In poverty	13.7%
Income	Unemployed	4.8%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.465
Race	White alone	72.6%
Race	Black alone	11.2%
Race	Asian alone	1.6%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	13.2%
Race	Two or more races	10.3%
Origin	Foreign-born	8.5%
Language	Speaks English only at home	87.0%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	8.9%
Education	High school or higher	57.8%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	25.5%
Education	Advanced degree	9.0%
Household	Family households	63.8%
Household	Avg household size	2.33
Household	Never married (15+)	27.4%
Housing	Median home value	$283,500
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,337
Housing	Single-family detached	63.1%
Housing	Built before 1940	1.4%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.2%
Housing	Vacant units	14.6%
Service	Veterans (18+)	10.2%
Health	With a disability	17.7%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	90.5%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	6.7%
Commute	Drove alone	72.1%
Commute	Public transit	0.4%
Commute	Worked from home	14.0%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$95,725	$95,163	$555	$11,404	$48,214

Elections

2026 general house · FL-6 — running

Committees

AARON 4 FL — principal · type H
AARON 4 FL 6 — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2026-03-25	MAKE ACCOUNTABILITY GREAT AGAIN PAC	24K	$3,500
2026-03-02	ANTI-ZIONIST AMERICA PAC	24K	$1,500
2025-10-21	ANTI-ZIONIST AMERICA PAC	24K	$1,500

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee AARON 4 FL.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

Donor	Employer / occupation	City, ST	Gifts	Total
CLEMENTS, MATTHEW	KLLM · TRUCK DRIVER	MULGA, AL	2	$2,082
ABUTAA, ADAM	EMGAGE ACTION FL · ORGANIZING MANAGER	POMPANO BEACH, FL	2	$2,082
BONIN, JUDY	SELF · SELF	STAUNTON, VA	26	$650
DISTEFANO, YOUMNA	SELF · PHYSICIAN	FORT LAUDERDALE, FL	1	$500
BLEMASTER, GARY	RETIRED · RETIRED	NAPLES, FL	6	$240
HANIFIL, DARREN	RETIRED · RETIRED	EXCELSIOR, MN	4	$160
SMITH, DAVID	RETIRED · RETIRED	ORMOND BEACH, FL	1	$100

Connected on the graph

Inbound (3)

date	from	type	amount	source
2026-03-25	MAKE ACCOUNTABILITY GREAT AGAIN PAC	contributed_to	$3,500	pas2
2026-03-02	ANTI-ZIONIST AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2025-10-21	ANTI-ZIONIST AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2

Outbound (2)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	AARON 4 FL 6	—		candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	AARON 4 FL	—		candidate_committees

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