SPALDING, CARLA ARLENE
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6FL18121- Internal id
97062e59-d5fc-4b5e-8aa2-d5652e84fc6b- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), FL-23. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 778,879 |
| People | Median age | 45 |
| Income | Median household income | $85,464 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $56,978 |
| Income | In poverty | 9.9% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.518 |
| Race | White alone | 56.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 13.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 22.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 20.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 29.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 65.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 18.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 66.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 45.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 18.0% |
| Household | Family households | 58.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.34 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.1% |
| Housing | Median home value | $490,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,067 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 36.1% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.9% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 17.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.5% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 67.0% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.2% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 18.5% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $4,842 | $14,657 | $17,185 | $70,717 | $1,009 |
| 2024 | $759,650 | $745,570 | $26,999 | $70,967 | $724,948 |
| 2022 | $2,002,922 | $2,006,020 | $12,920 | $11,375 | $1,837,380 |
| 2020 | $947,209 | $931,191 | $16,018 | $7,209 | $918,075 |
| 2018 | $779,004 | $779,207 | $0 | $0 | $775,416 |
| 2016 | $26,884 | $26,680 | $203 | $8,336 | $15,000 |
Elections
- 2016 general house Β· FL-18 β lost_general
- 2016 general house Β· FL-23 β running
- 2018 general house Β· FL-23 β running
- 2018 general house Β· FL-18 β lost_general
- 2024 general house Β· FL-23 β lost_general
Committees
- CARLA SPALDING FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
- CARLA SPALDING FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | CARLA SPALDING FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | CARLA SPALDING FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |