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SHENKER, LOUIS

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H6FL19236
Internal id
642ffbf2-dc05-4c54-8b3f-3ca3fbb19e4b
Status
open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), FL-19. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation808,421
PeopleMedian age54
IncomeMedian household income$81,319
IncomePer-capita income$56,030
IncomeIn poverty10.9%
IncomeUnemployed3.9%
IncomeGini inequality index0.519
RaceWhite alone71.7%
RaceBlack alone6.4%
RaceAsian alone1.9%
RaceHispanic or Latino20.1%
RaceTwo or more races15.6%
OriginForeign-born17.5%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home77.8%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home15.8%
EducationHigh school or higher64.2%
EducationBachelor's or higher37.6%
EducationAdvanced degree15.2%
HouseholdFamily households63.2%
HouseholdAvg household size2.28
HouseholdNever married (15+)24.2%
HousingMedian home value$421,300
HousingMedian gross rent$1,787
HousingSingle-family detached48.6%
HousingBuilt before 19400.3%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.9%
HousingVacant units30.4%
ServiceVeterans (18+)7.7%
HealthWith a disability13.5%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband92.2%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet4.2%
CommuteDrove alone69.8%
CommutePublic transit0.4%
CommuteWorked from home17.0%

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%
open seat-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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