SMITH, NEAL
D Β· house Β· bioguide S000596
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- FEC candidate id
H6IA04043- Internal id
f0b3fb65-880c-4fea-aa17-ef282f5b90a2- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), IA-04. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 798,043 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $72,711 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $37,903 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.4% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.433 |
| Race | White alone | 84.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 2.0% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.1% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 10.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 6.4% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 89.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 7.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 58.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 26.8% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 8.6% |
| Household | Family households | 61.2% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.37 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 32.3% |
| Housing | Median home value | $182,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $902 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 76.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.5% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.5% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 86.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.4% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 77.6% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 8.4% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1996 | $1,170 | $81,690 | $0 | $0 | $514 |
| 1994 | $583,454 | $1,005,498 | $80,533 | $0 | $196,313 |
| 1992 | $324,231 | $197,159 | $502,580 | $0 | $61,280 |
| 1990 | $167,829 | $56,903 | $375,509 | $0 | $9,321 |
| 1988 | $205,035 | $83,474 | $264,580 | $0 | $22,506 |
| 1986 | $153,681 | $100,675 | $143,017 | $0 | $0 |
| 1984 | $165,452 | $107,750 | $90,014 | $0 | $33,962 |
| 1982 | $126,017 | $126,610 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 1980 | $93,171 | $85,861 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Elections
- 1980 general house Β· IA-4 β won
- 1982 general house Β· IA-4 β won
- 1984 general house Β· IA-4 β won
- 1986 general house Β· IA-4 β won
- 1988 general house Β· IA-4 β won
- 1990 general house Β· IA-4 β won
- 1992 general house Β· IA-4 β won
- 1994 general house Β· IA-4 β lost_general
Committees
No committees on file.
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (21)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | educated_at | Drake University Law School | β | wikidata | |
| β | educated_at | Drake University | β | wikidata | |
| β | educated_at | University of Missouri | β | wikidata | |
| 1993-01-05 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1991-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1989-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1987-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1985-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1983-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1981-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1979-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1977-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1975-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1973-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1971-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1969-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1967-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1965-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1963-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1961-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1959-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata |