MUDD, MATTHEW COLE PARKER
OTHER Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6IL17221- Internal id
6ec27e9f-e611-4092-be4c-29d9444e5503- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), IL-17. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 746,022 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $59,364 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $33,489 |
| Income | In poverty | 17.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.459 |
| Race | White alone | 70.6% |
| Race | Black alone | 13.1% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.2% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 11.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 9.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 6.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 88.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 7.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 56.7% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 24.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 8.7% |
| Household | Family households | 56.2% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.23 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 38.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $132,800 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $904 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.1% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 7.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.4% |
| Health | With a disability | 15.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 87.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 75.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 9.2% |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· IL-17 β running
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.