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COULTER, JOSHUA

D Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H6IN01249
Internal id
f4d627a1-8f7d-4e5f-9ef8-e326139e4c4c
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), IN-01. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation757,919
PeopleMedian age40
IncomeMedian household income$73,983
IncomePer-capita income$38,550
IncomeIn poverty13.3%
IncomeUnemployed5.7%
IncomeGini inequality index0.451
RaceWhite alone63.6%
RaceBlack alone17.8%
RaceAsian alone1.5%
RaceHispanic or Latino17.4%
RaceTwo or more races10.4%
OriginForeign-born6.2%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home87.7%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home8.6%
EducationHigh school or higher61.3%
EducationBachelor's or higher26.7%
EducationAdvanced degree9.1%
HouseholdFamily households65.2%
HouseholdAvg household size2.51
HouseholdNever married (15+)34.1%
HousingMedian home value$236,900
HousingMedian gross rent$1,130
HousingSingle-family detached72.3%
HousingBuilt before 19407.5%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)2.0%
HousingVacant units9.6%
ServiceVeterans (18+)6.0%
HealthWith a disability13.3%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband90.5%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet7.3%
CommuteDrove alone80.2%
CommutePublic transit1.1%
CommuteWorked from home8.5%

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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