EARLY, JOSEPH DANIEL
D Β· house Β· bioguide E000013
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- FEC candidate id
H6MA03043- Internal id
deca3a76-ede1-469e-9e25-e8fbe33751d9- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MA-03. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 785,403 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $99,663 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $49,659 |
| Income | In poverty | 10.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.7% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.463 |
| Race | White alone | 62.3% |
| Race | Black alone | 4.6% |
| Race | Asian alone | 8.3% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 22.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 13.0% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 20.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 68.1% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 17.5% |
| Education | High school or higher | 65.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 40.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 17.1% |
| Household | Family households | 67.1% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.61 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 36.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $494,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,641 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 51.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.7% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 3.9% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 69.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 16.4% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | $4,807 | $19,386 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 1992 | $835,616 | $924,384 | $22,418 | $0 | $606,118 |
| 1990 | $281,707 | $282,012 | $111,190 | $0 | $195,359 |
| 1988 | $222,053 | $205,989 | $111,500 | $0 | $128,603 |
| 1986 | $243,369 | $186,651 | $95,439 | $0 | $0 |
| 1984 | $199,681 | $168,846 | $38,724 | $0 | $161,211 |
| 1982 | $86,794 | $110,878 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 1980 | $76,972 | $71,210 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Elections
- 1980 general house Β· MA-3 β won
- 1982 general house Β· MA-3 β won
- 1984 general house Β· MA-3 β won
- 1986 general house Β· MA-3 β won
- 1988 general house Β· MA-3 β won
- 1990 general house Β· MA-3 β won
- 1992 general house Β· MA-3 β lost_general
Committees
No committees on file.
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.