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STALCUP, THOMAS PHD

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H6MA04140
Internal id
c77f9977-8b76-40b2-93a1-e9ae5cfd023b
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MA-04. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation787,020
PeopleMedian age41
IncomeMedian household income$116,055
IncomePer-capita income$64,011
IncomeIn poverty7.8%
IncomeUnemployed4.8%
IncomeGini inequality index0.492
RaceWhite alone77.4%
RaceBlack alone3.7%
RaceAsian alone6.8%
RaceHispanic or Latino6.7%
RaceTwo or more races8.7%
OriginForeign-born15.5%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home79.4%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home4.3%
EducationHigh school or higher71.4%
EducationBachelor's or higher49.9%
EducationAdvanced degree24.8%
HouseholdFamily households67.7%
HouseholdAvg household size2.52
HouseholdNever married (15+)33.5%
HousingMedian home value$584,600
HousingMedian gross rent$1,622
HousingSingle-family detached55.1%
HousingBuilt before 19405.1%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.7%
HousingVacant units4.3%
ServiceVeterans (18+)4.1%
HealthWith a disability11.6%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband93.3%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet5.0%
CommuteDrove alone63.9%
CommutePublic transit4.5%
CommuteWorked from home19.5%

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (1)

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β€”principal_candidate_ofSTALCUP FOR CONGRESSβ€”candidate_committees

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