METZGAR, RYAN
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6MD02302- Internal id
82f0a2ce-d203-4c0b-bae4-ccd4363a3c91- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MD-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 771,118 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $99,849 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $52,459 |
| Income | In poverty | 8.2% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.5% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.451 |
| Race | White alone | 60.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 24.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 5.7% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 6.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 11.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 86.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 3.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 68.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 46.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 21.0% |
| Household | Family households | 64.1% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.48 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 34.8% |
| Housing | Median home value | $381,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,641 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 50.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 5.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 69.3% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 18.1% |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· MD-2 β running
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.