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ZARWELL, EUGENE ROBERT

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H6MD05156
Internal id
666a68d9-dc94-4544-9e04-55073f0cda59
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MD-05. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation791,419
PeopleMedian age40
IncomeMedian household income$130,777
IncomePer-capita income$56,918
IncomeIn poverty5.7%
IncomeUnemployed4.3%
IncomeGini inequality index0.389
RaceWhite alone43.9%
RaceBlack alone40.3%
RaceAsian alone3.0%
RaceHispanic or Latino8.0%
RaceTwo or more races9.0%
OriginForeign-born9.4%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home88.5%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home4.8%
EducationHigh school or higher65.7%
EducationBachelor's or higher42.1%
EducationAdvanced degree19.2%
HouseholdFamily households71.0%
HouseholdAvg household size2.71
HouseholdNever married (15+)33.2%
HousingMedian home value$457,800
HousingMedian gross rent$2,095
HousingSingle-family detached68.0%
HousingBuilt before 19402.2%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.6%
HousingVacant units5.1%
ServiceVeterans (18+)11.6%
HealthWith a disability10.8%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband94.7%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet3.7%
CommuteDrove alone68.0%
CommutePublic transit2.2%
CommuteWorked from home20.3%

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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