CLAY, WILLIAM L SR
D Β· house Β· bioguide C000488
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- FEC candidate id
H6MO01022- Internal id
7bf61b7a-3a05-456b-b276-ab9b6a0bedd7- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MO-01. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 752,720 |
| People | Median age | 37 |
| Income | Median household income | $61,097 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $40,819 |
| Income | In poverty | 17.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.5% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.497 |
| Race | White alone | 41.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 45.6% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 4.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 7.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 90.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 3.4% |
| Education | High school or higher | 63.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 38.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 16.9% |
| Household | Family households | 50.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.15 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 45.3% |
| Housing | Median home value | $179,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,096 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 58.9% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 7.9% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.9% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 13.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 15.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.4% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 67.3% |
| Commute | Public transit | 3.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 16.8% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | $1,057 | $1,606 | $16 | $0 | $0 |
| 2006 | $1,025 | $11,164 | $566 | $0 | $900 |
| 2004 | $363 | $17,284 | $10,705 | $0 | $0 |
| 2002 | $8,134 | $33,752 | $27,570 | $0 | $0 |
| 2000 | $127,692 | $230,994 | $53,187 | $0 | $600 |
| 1998 | $305,967 | $273,618 | $156,491 | $0 | $57,295 |
| 1996 | $318,267 | $383,850 | $124,142 | $0 | $68,375 |
| 1994 | $446,679 | $381,188 | $189,989 | $0 | $109,862 |
| 1992 | $336,937 | $330,895 | $124,500 | $0 | $40,431 |
| 1990 | $215,465 | $198,409 | $119,666 | $0 | $23,805 |
| 1988 | $204,094 | $159,700 | $102,620 | $525 | $25,250 |
| 1986 | $230,437 | $217,113 | $58,734 | $525 | $0 |
| 1984 | $179,400 | $142,556 | $45,417 | $3,975 | $26,864 |
| 1982 | $292,423 | $296,898 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 1980 | $107,680 | $102,908 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Elections
- 1980 general house Β· MO-1 β won
- 1982 general house Β· MO-1 β won
- 1984 general house Β· MO-1 β won
- 1986 general house Β· MO-1 β won
- 1988 general house Β· MO-1 β won
- 1990 general house Β· MO-1 β won
- 1992 general house Β· MO-1 β won
- 1994 general house Β· MO-1 β won
- 1996 general house Β· MO-1 β won
- 1998 general house Β· MO-1 β won
Committees
- CLAY CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE β principal Β· type H
- DC FRIENDS OF "BILL CLAY" β principal Β· type H
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (20)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | educated_at | Saint Louis University | β | wikidata | |
| β | educated_at | Sumner High School | β | wikidata | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | CLAY CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | DC FRIENDS OF "BILL CLAY" | β | candidate_committees | |
| 1999-01-06 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1997-01-07 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1995-01-04 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1993-01-05 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1991-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1989-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1987-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1985-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1983-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1981-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1979-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1977-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1975-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1973-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1971-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1969-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata |