NEAL, STEPHEN L
D Β· house Β· bioguide N000016
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- FEC candidate id
H6NC05018- Internal id
8df33479-2767-4d11-b1bc-ba72b83c329b- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NC-05. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 751,008 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $58,936 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $34,940 |
| Income | In poverty | 15.9% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.480 |
| Race | White alone | 70.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 17.3% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.2% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 8.5% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 6.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 89.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 6.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 56.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 27.8% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.7% |
| Household | Family households | 62.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.35 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 32.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $214,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $952 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 67.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 14.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 16.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 87.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 9.6% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 76.3% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 10.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | $177 | $138 | $20,956 | $0 | $0 |
| 2002 | $912 | $868 | $20,916 | $0 | $0 |
| 2000 | $1,878 | $4,364 | $20,870 | $0 | $0 |
| 1998 | $2,237 | $5,018 | $23,356 | $0 | $0 |
| 1996 | $2,756 | $7,819 | $26,137 | $0 | $0 |
| 1994 | $165,705 | $138,202 | $31,199 | $0 | $48,457 |
| 1992 | $493,627 | $517,594 | $3,697 | $455 | $139,814 |
| 1990 | $671,884 | $647,331 | $27,665 | $2,074 | $197,716 |
| 1988 | $715,578 | $756,115 | $3,113 | $29,419 | $230,967 |
| 1986 | $493,483 | $494,014 | $43,650 | $0 | $0 |
| 1984 | $300,153 | $256,685 | $44,182 | $0 | $94,766 |
| 1982 | $342,608 | $341,680 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 1980 | $181,540 | $179,450 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Elections
- 1980 general house Β· NC-5 β won
- 1982 general house Β· NC-5 β won
- 1984 general house Β· NC-5 β won
- 1986 general house Β· NC-5 β won
- 1988 general house Β· NC-5 β won
- 1990 general house Β· NC-5 β won
- 1992 general house Β· NC-5 β won
- 1994 general house Β· NC-5 β won
Committees
- STEVE NEAL POLITICAL COMMITTEE β principal Β· type H
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (14)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | educated_at | University of HawaiΚ»i System | β | wikidata | |
| β | educated_at | Narbonne High School | β | wikidata | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | STEVE NEAL POLITICAL COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| 1993-01-05 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1991-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1989-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1987-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1985-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1983-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1981-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1979-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1977-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1975-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1975-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata |