GIRARD, STEVE
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6NC05158- Internal id
e68eb290-0621-4db3-b55e-f48874c22cdb- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NC-05. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 751,008 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $58,936 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $34,940 |
| Income | In poverty | 15.9% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.480 |
| Race | White alone | 70.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 17.3% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.2% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 8.5% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 6.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 89.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 6.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 56.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 27.8% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.7% |
| Household | Family households | 62.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.35 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 32.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $214,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $952 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 67.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 14.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 16.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 87.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 9.6% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 76.3% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 10.6% |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· NC-5 β running
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.