MCCARTHY, EMILY
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6NC12097- Internal id
2709f896-ed9b-4125-89ae-e8d7487bc0ec- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NC-12. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 770,963 |
| People | Median age | 34 |
| Income | Median household income | $75,943 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $48,470 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.9% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.498 |
| Race | White alone | 36.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 37.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 5.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 18.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 9.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 18.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 75.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 16.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 62.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 44.7% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 15.8% |
| Household | Family households | 52.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.36 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 46.5% |
| Housing | Median home value | $356,800 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,579 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 48.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.8% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.1% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 9.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 56.9% |
| Commute | Public transit | 2.1% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 28.8% |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· NC-12 β running
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.