WINDER, BAYLY PHILIP CHRISTOPER
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6NJ02228- Internal id
b86e3933-afc7-479c-b44b-938ca1e61cbd- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NJ-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 783,815 |
| People | Median age | 43 |
| Income | Median household income | $85,261 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $44,224 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.4% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.458 |
| Race | White alone | 65.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 11.1% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 18.0% |
| Race | Two or more races | 10.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 10.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 81.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 12.4% |
| Education | High school or higher | 64.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 31.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.1% |
| Household | Family households | 67.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.49 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 33.1% |
| Housing | Median home value | $318,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,363 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 65.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 26.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.1% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 74.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 2.2% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 10.2% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $643,021 | $396,112 | $246,909 | $0 | $633,088 |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· NJ-2 β running
Committees
- BAYLY WINDER FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee BAYLY WINDER FOR CONGRESS.
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
| Donor | Employer / occupation | City, ST | Gifts | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MARCUS, WENDY | NOT EMPLOYED Β· NOT EMPLOYED | SHORT HILLS, NJ | 1 | $3,500 |
| ERCKLENTZ, ALEXANDER | NOT EMPLOYED Β· NOT EMPLOYED | GREENWICH, CT | 1 | $1,000 |
| DACKOW, THOMAS | NOT EMPLOYED Β· RETIRED | SUMMIT, NJ | 1 | $500 |
| ADAMS, MATTHEW | NEW JERSEY INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY Β· PROFESSOR | WILMINGTON, DE | 1 | $500 |
| NAHAS, ALBERT | SELF-EMPLOYED Β· CONSULTANT | BETHESDA, MD | 1 | $500 |
| HARRIS, JEFF | NOT EMPLOYED Β· RETIRED | MILLVILLE, NJ | 2 | $400 |
| LIPSON, ADAM | NOT EMPLOYED Β· NOT EMPLOYED | HILTON HEAD ISLAND, SC | 1 | $300 |
| STETTLER, JOHN | NOT EMPLOYED Β· NOT EMPLOYED | ROYSE CITY, TX | 1 | $250 |
| BAKER, KIERAN | SELF-EMPLOYED Β· CONSULTANT | ALEXANDRIA, VA | 1 | $250 |
| LAIRD, JO | PATTERSON BELKNAP WEBB & TYLER Β· ATTORNEY | NEW YORK, NY | 1 | $250 |
| MALTZ, GARY | SELF-EMPLOYED Β· PHYSICIAN | PRINCETON, NJ | 1 | $100 |
| HITCHNER, NANCY | NOT EMPLOYED Β· NOT EMPLOYED | MARGATE CITY, NJ | 1 | $100 |
| MEHRHOFF, JESSIE | ENVIRONMENT AMERICA Β· CAMPAIGN ORGANIZER | WASHINGTON, DC | 1 | $50 |
| BENTLEY, LILI | DAVITA Β· DIRECTOR | DENVER, CO | 1 | $35 |
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | BAYLY WINDER FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |