GAY, CAROL
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6NJ04133- Internal id
17f57c90-934f-4769-b8d6-21d39efc10d2- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NJ-04. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 788,486 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $99,155 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $51,345 |
| Income | In poverty | 9.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.4% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.470 |
| Race | White alone | 81.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 3.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 11.1% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.7% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 9.2% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 86.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 6.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 68.9% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 40.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 14.7% |
| Household | Family households | 67.2% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.66 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 29.5% |
| Housing | Median home value | $461,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,749 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 11.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.3% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 72.6% |
| Commute | Public transit | 2.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 14.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | $2,218 | $3,232 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2006 | $95,189 | $94,175 | $1,014 | $0 | $70,541 |
Elections
- 2006 general house Β· NJ-4 β lost_general
Committees
- COMMITTEE TO ELECT CAROL GAY β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
1 typed relationship in the influence graph β 0 inbound, 1 outbound, grouped by type.
principal candidate of (1)
| date | dir | entity | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | β | COMMITTEE TO ELECT CAROL GAY | β | candidate_committees |