VAS, JOSEPH
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6NJ13209- Internal id
759dd218-f9cd-48ed-bd5f-9194156cee39- Status
- open seat
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | $1,400 | $5,625 | $266 | $112,389 | $900 |
| 2006 | $913,673 | $909,182 | $4,491 | $115,589 | $829,673 |
Elections
- 2006 general house Β· NJ-13 β lost_general
Committees
- VAS FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | VAS FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |