DOWNEY, THOMAS J
D Β· house Β· bioguide D000471
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- FEC candidate id
H6NY02025- Internal id
26aa4aa9-e91b-4275-9af2-ec1442ff078c- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 782,282 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $128,330 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $50,160 |
| Income | In poverty | 6.4% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.412 |
| Race | White alone | 59.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 10.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 29.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 12.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 19.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 70.4% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 21.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.3% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 33.9% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 14.8% |
| Household | Family households | 74.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 3.14 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 36.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $529,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,204 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 78.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 6.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 3.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 10.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 73.0% |
| Commute | Public transit | 5.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 9.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1996 | $0 | $60 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 1994 | $11,668 | $136,668 | $66 | $0 | $1,639 |
| 1992 | $1,085,414 | $1,446,911 | $125,060 | $0 | $564,219 |
| 1990 | $612,878 | $635,392 | $486,556 | $0 | $201,227 |
| 1988 | $896,625 | $627,584 | $509,072 | $0 | $480,011 |
| 1986 | $823,272 | $739,062 | $239,970 | $0 | $0 |
| 1984 | $552,616 | $492,680 | $155,758 | $0 | $328,188 |
| 1982 | $394,749 | $301,351 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 1980 | $189,384 | $190,889 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Elections
- 1980 general house Β· NY-2 β won
- 1984 general house Β· NY-2 β won
- 1986 general house Β· NY-2 β won
- 1988 general house Β· NY-2 β won
- 1990 general house Β· NY-2 β won
- 1992 general house Β· NY-2 β lost_general
Committees
No committees on file.
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (13)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| β | educated_at | St. John's University School of Law | β | wikidata | |
| β | educated_at | Cornell University | β | wikidata | |
| β | educated_at | West Islip High School | β | wikidata | |
| 1991-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1989-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1987-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1985-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1983-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1981-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1979-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1977-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1975-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata |