VALDEZ, CLAIRE
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6NY07214- Internal id
70f884c4-d137-4cab-bd5a-4e6c36c9387a- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-07. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 753,548 |
| People | Median age | 34 |
| Income | Median household income | $88,575 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $51,033 |
| Income | In poverty | 18.2% |
| Income | Unemployed | 7.4% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.504 |
| Race | White alone | 41.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 11.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 12.3% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 34.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 15.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 33.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 46.9% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 27.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 66.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 44.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 16.4% |
| Household | Family households | 51.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.48 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 50.1% |
| Housing | Median home value | $859,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,142 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 3.1% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 8.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 9.7% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 1.3% |
| Health | With a disability | 9.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 14.6% |
| Commute | Public transit | 48.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 20.9% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $751,680 | $273,559 | $478,121 | $0 | $735,180 |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· NY-7 β running
Committees
- CLAIRE VALDEZ FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $69,986 | $0 | 1 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | NEW YORKERS FOR LOWER COSTS | support | $69,986 | Direct Mail |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-25 | LEADERS WE DESERVE | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2026-02-03 | JUSTICE DEMOCRATS PAC | 24K | $5,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (3)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | NEW YORKERS FOR LOWER COSTS | supports_independently | $69,986 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-03-25 | LEADERS WE DESERVE | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-03 | JUSTICE DEMOCRATS PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | CLAIRE VALDEZ FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |