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SULLIVAN, JOHN

D · house

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FEC candidate id
H6NY17197
Internal id
b8d72395-af52-41ee-b671-2d40e15f90b8
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-17. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation777,627
PeopleMedian age40
IncomeMedian household income$125,890
IncomePer-capita income$60,146
IncomeIn poverty10.7%
IncomeUnemployed5.4%
IncomeGini inequality index0.484
RaceWhite alone65.8%
RaceBlack alone7.6%
RaceAsian alone4.9%
RaceHispanic or Latino20.9%
RaceTwo or more races10.3%
OriginForeign-born19.3%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home67.1%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home14.9%
EducationHigh school or higher68.6%
EducationBachelor's or higher49.5%
EducationAdvanced degree23.4%
HouseholdFamily households74.0%
HouseholdAvg household size2.90
HouseholdNever married (15+)31.5%
HousingMedian home value$590,800
HousingMedian gross rent$1,944
HousingSingle-family detached63.0%
HousingBuilt before 19404.4%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)4.3%
HousingVacant units5.8%
ServiceVeterans (18+)3.3%
HealthWith a disability9.5%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband92.5%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet6.2%
CommuteDrove alone62.5%
CommutePublic transit8.2%
CommuteWorked from home16.9%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$477,859$470,760$7,099$10,468$449,881

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΔ P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2025-10-07ABLE DEMS PAC24K$1,000

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee JOHN SULLIVAN FOR NEW YORK.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

DonorEmployer / occupationCity, STGiftsTotal
MCNEIL, JENNIFERNOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYEDCOATESVILLE, PA1$2,500
LEAL, KARLNOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYEDCAMPBELL, CA1$2,000
LANGENFELD, JAMESBRG · ECONOMISTREHOBOTH BEACH, DE1$1,000
WAINEO, MARCUSNVIDIA · SOFTWAREASHBURN, VA1$1,000
GLASER, PATRICIAGLASER WEIL FINK HOWARD JORDAN · ATTORNEYLOS ANGELES, CA1$1,000
GELINE, MICHAELNORTHERN ILLINOIS UNIVERSITY · MATH TEACHERCHICAGO, IL1$700
ORNSTEIN, NORMANNOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYEDWASHINGTON, DC1$500
BUDD, AVIVANOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYEDSTAMFORD, CT1$500
HIGH, MICHELLESELF-EMPLOYED · EDITORCHEVY CHASE, MD1$250
RYUGO, KARENNOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYEDNEW YORK, NY2$150
SCHILLER, WILMANOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYEDCHEVY CHASE, MD2$150
WEXLER, DAVIDSTILL CREEK INSURANCE · INSURANCE AGENTGAITHERSBURG, MD1$150
O'MALLEY, MARYNOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYEDCHICAGO, IL1$100
GRAVES, ANNEWELLS FARGO · HUMAN RESOURCESCHARLOTTE, NC1$100
STUTZ, ELEANORSTATE OF CONNECTICUT · PHYSICIANPROSPECT, CT3$75
MARCELO, RUBYFEDERAL GOVERNMENT · ADMINISTRATIONWASHINGTON, DC1$75
WIESNER-CHIANESE, JULIANNECULTURAL HERITAGE CONSERVATION · ARCHITECTURAL CONSERVATORHIGHLAND, NY1$50
PEARSE, WILLIAMNOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYEDALBANY, NY2$50
DEANGELIS, DENNISSELF-EMPLOYED · ATTORNEYNORTHPORT, NY1$50
BROWN, PATRICKFOGLAMP · CONSULTANTWASHINGTON, DC1$50
SCHRADER, KELLYUNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND · EDUCATORUNIVERSITY PARK, MD1$50
BLEVINS, ANDREASELF-EMPLOYED · THERAPISTAURORA, CO1$35
COONS, DIANENOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYEDROCHESTER, NY1$35
MONROE, GERALDNOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYEDNORWALK, CT1$35
HARRIS, SANDRANOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYEDSPOKANE VALLEY, WA2$30

Connected on the graph

Inbound (1)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2025-10-07ABLE DEMS PACcontributed_to$1,000pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
principal_candidate_ofJOHN SULLIVAN FOR NEW YORKcandidate_committees

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