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WILLIAMS, JOSH

R · house

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FEC candidate id
H6OH09131
Internal id
fc82b52c-60c4-494d-a9ce-78737a0aec84
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), OH-09. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation781,702
PeopleMedian age41
IncomeMedian household income$66,739
IncomePer-capita income$39,128
IncomeIn poverty14.8%
IncomeUnemployed5.4%
IncomeGini inequality index0.470
RaceWhite alone76.5%
RaceBlack alone11.9%
RaceAsian alone1.4%
RaceHispanic or Latino7.7%
RaceTwo or more races7.4%
OriginForeign-born3.1%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home94.6%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home2.5%
EducationHigh school or higher60.8%
EducationBachelor's or higher27.8%
EducationAdvanced degree10.4%
HouseholdFamily households60.0%
HouseholdAvg household size2.30
HouseholdNever married (15+)34.2%
HousingMedian home value$174,200
HousingMedian gross rent$920
HousingSingle-family detached71.0%
HousingBuilt before 19406.3%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.2%
HousingVacant units10.9%
ServiceVeterans (18+)6.3%
HealthWith a disability15.2%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband89.2%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet7.9%
CommuteDrove alone80.7%
CommutePublic transit0.8%
CommuteWorked from home7.9%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$851,766$715,980$135,786$118,724$837,466

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΔ P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2026$45,000$02

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
2026-03-24AMERICAN DREAM OHIO PACsupport$15,000ONLINE ADVERTISING / EMAIL COMMUNICATION / SMS MESSAGING
2025-12-18AMERICAN DREAM OHIO PACsupport$30,000ONLINE ADVERTISING / EMAIL COMMUNICATION / SMS MESSAGING

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2026-03-24AMERICAN DREAM OHIO PAC24E$15,000
2025-12-18AMERICAN DREAM OHIO PAC24E$30,000
2025-12-12ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICA24K$500
2025-09-24MOUNTAINEER PAC24K$5,000

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee JOSH WILLIAMS FOR OHIO.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

DonorEmployer / occupationCity, STGiftsTotal
FORSTER, HAROLDRETIRED · RETIREDTARZANA, CA1$3,500
LASUSA, PHILALLIANT ENERGY · AVPCOLUMBUS, OH1$2,500
SCHALL, JAMESPHYSICIAN · EWBA17HUNTINGDON, PA3$1,500
WADSWORTH, BRITTLIONS SHARE COMPANY · CEOSYLVANIA, OH1$1,041
DAVIS, MATTSELF · CONSULTANTCINCINNATI, OH1$1,000
PERKINS, JAMESRETIRED · RETIREDTYLER, TX1$1,000
CAMARA, STEVENRETIRED · RETIREDNEW BEDFORD, MA1$1,000
SMEAD, LARRYSASCO · CEOESSEX, NY1$1,000
SCHNEIDER, MICHELLEHILLEBRAND · OWNERCINCINNATI, OH1$1,000
BIEBER, ALBERTNONE · EWBB16CHINA, TX2$700
DEETER, KELLIEFIRELANDS ANESTHESIA · CRNANORWALK, OH1$520
BUTLER, GREGORYRETIRED · RETIREDWEST FARGO, ND1$500
REED, CINTHIAOHIO GAS COMPANY · PRESIDENTBRYAN, OH1$500
SWIGART, THOMASTHOMAS AUTOMOTIVE GROUP · EXECUTIVETOLEDO, OH1$500
KARLOVITS, PETERRETIRED · RETIREDKENVIL, NJ3$450
BARBOUR, IDARETIRED · RETIREDMECHANICSBURG, PA2$450
HUFFMAN, CAROLHOMEMAKER · HOMEMAKERCARROLLTON, TX1$400
NELSON, RICHARDRETIRED · RETIREDNEKOOSA, WI1$300
LIVINGSTON, RICHARDRETIRED · RETIREDWESTLAKE, OH1$250
WILLIAMS, MICHAELRETIRED · RETIREDDONGOLA, IL1$250
UNDERWOOD, LINDAHOMEMAKER · HOMEMAKERMANITOWOC, WI1$250
DONAHUE, JANERETIRED · RETIREDWELLESLEY, MA1$250
SMITH, DAVIDDENTIST · EWBB03FORT MILL, SC1$250
RISIUS, BARBARARETIRED · RETIREDLYNDHURST, OH1$250
REINHARD, DONALDEXECUTIVE · EWBE19PALMERTON, PA1$250

Connected on the graph

Inbound (6)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2026-03-24AMERICAN DREAM OHIO PACsupports_independently$15,000fec_ies
2026-03-24AMERICAN DREAM OHIO PACcontributed_to$15,000pas2
2025-12-18AMERICAN DREAM OHIO PACsupports_independently$30,000fec_ies
2025-12-18AMERICAN DREAM OHIO PACcontributed_to$30,000pas2
2025-12-12ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICAcontributed_to$500pas2
2025-09-24MOUNTAINEER PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
principal_candidate_ofJOSH WILLIAMS FOR OHIOcandidate_committees

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