ERICKSON, MICHAEL

R · house

FEC candidate id: H6OR05119
Internal id: f4e29467-ad9f-4724-82da-2435ddf4e4ec
Status: open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), OR-05. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	714,831
People	Median age	42
Income	Median household income	$93,030
Income	Per-capita income	$50,416
Income	In poverty	9.3%
Income	Unemployed	4.6%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.464
Race	White alone	81.5%
Race	Black alone	1.0%
Race	Asian alone	2.9%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	10.5%
Race	Two or more races	10.3%
Origin	Foreign-born	6.8%
Language	Speaks English only at home	89.7%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	6.1%
Education	High school or higher	61.0%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	39.0%
Education	Advanced degree	14.1%
Household	Family households	66.5%
Household	Avg household size	2.50
Household	Never married (15+)	28.5%
Housing	Median home value	$566,000
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,660
Housing	Single-family detached	68.8%
Housing	Built before 1940	4.4%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.8%
Housing	Vacant units	7.5%
Service	Veterans (18+)	7.1%
Health	With a disability	14.1%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	93.0%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	4.5%
Commute	Drove alone	67.1%
Commute	Public transit	1.1%
Commute	Worked from home	20.1%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2012	$1,084	$4,819	$0	$0	$0
2010	$5,146	$3,385	$3,735	$901,300	$1,000
2008	$2,595,631	$2,594,666	$1,974	$901,300	$413,927
2006	$1,799,746	$1,798,736	$1,009	$1,567,605	$182,775

Elections

2006 general house · OR-5 — lost_general
2008 general house · OR-5 — lost_general

Committees

ERICKSON FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-11-03	HMP	24A	$30,000
2022-11-01	HMP	24A	$14,967
2022-11-01	VICTORY AND FREEDOM PAC (VAF PAC)	24K	$1,000
2022-11-01	HMP	24A	$949,722
2022-11-01	HMP	24A	$43,331
2022-10-27	HMP	24A	$7,277
2022-10-27	HMP	24A	$11,951
2022-10-25	HMP	24A	$612,035
2022-10-24	HMP	24A	$43,340
2022-10-20	VICTORY AND FREEDOM PAC (VAF PAC)	24K	$2,000
2022-10-19	NATIONAL EDUCATION ASSOCIATION	24N	$677
2022-10-14	OREGON FRONTIER PAC	24K	$500
2022-09-23	HMP	24A	$3,500
2022-09-23	HMP	24A	$39,251
2022-09-22	HMP	24A	$357,638
2022-09-21	HMP	24A	$31,401
2022-09-20	HMP	24A	$12,417
2022-09-15	HMP	24A	$350,625
2022-09-09	EUREKA POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$5,000
2022-08-16	VICTORY AND FREEDOM PAC (VAF PAC)	24K	$2,000
2022-08-15	BULLDOG PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-07-18	CREATING OPPORTUNITIES, MARKETS AND ENTHUSIASM …	24K	$1,000
2022-07-16	BUILDING LEADERSHIP AND INSPIRING NEW ENTERPRIS…	24K	$2,000
2022-05-23	BULLDOG PAC	24K	$1,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (24)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-11-03	HMP	contributed_to	$30,000	pas2
2022-11-01	HMP	contributed_to	$949,722	pas2
2022-11-01	HMP	contributed_to	$14,967	pas2
2022-11-01	HMP	contributed_to	$43,331	pas2
2022-11-01	VICTORY AND FREEDOM PAC (VAF PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-27	HMP	contributed_to	$11,951	pas2
2022-10-27	HMP	contributed_to	$7,277	pas2
2022-10-25	HMP	contributed_to	$612,035	pas2
2022-10-24	HMP	contributed_to	$43,340	pas2
2022-10-20	VICTORY AND FREEDOM PAC (VAF PAC)	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-19	NATIONAL EDUCATION ASSOCIATION	contributed_to	$677	pas2
2022-10-14	OREGON FRONTIER PAC	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2022-09-23	HMP	contributed_to	$3,500	pas2
2022-09-23	HMP	contributed_to	$39,251	pas2
2022-09-22	HMP	contributed_to	$357,638	pas2
2022-09-21	HMP	contributed_to	$31,401	pas2
2022-09-20	HMP	contributed_to	$12,417	pas2
2022-09-15	HMP	contributed_to	$350,625	pas2
2022-09-09	EUREKA POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-08-16	VICTORY AND FREEDOM PAC (VAF PAC)	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-08-15	BULLDOG PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-07-18	CREATING OPPORTUNITIES, MARKETS AND ENTHUSIASM IN RURAL KENTUCKY PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-07-16	BUILDING LEADERSHIP AND INSPIRING NEW ENTERPRISE PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-05-23	BULLDOG PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	ERICKSON FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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