SANTOS, ARNOLD
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6PA12113- Internal id
7ae3cb7b-9eef-4d2b-a7b2-dfadd83516e1- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), PA-12. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 760,856 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $71,986 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $45,179 |
| Income | In poverty | 14.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.483 |
| Race | White alone | 73.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 15.0% |
| Race | Asian alone | 4.2% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 3.1% |
| Race | Two or more races | 5.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 6.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 91.5% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 69.3% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 41.9% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 17.9% |
| Household | Family households | 53.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.17 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 41.1% |
| Housing | Median home value | $205,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,143 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 60.4% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 9.2% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.1% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 11.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 59.9% |
| Commute | Public transit | 6.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 20.3% |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· PA-12 β running
Committees
- ATS 4 CONGRESS β joint_fundraising Β· type Q
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | ATS 4 CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |