RODRIGUEZ ORELLANA, MANUEL
I Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6PR00066- Internal id
5805d6aa-cae8-4d83-965e-45ad0cafad61- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | $1,000 | $1,362 | $2,670 | $2,160 | $1,000 |
| 2000 | $16,508 | $13,476 | $3,032 | $0 | $8,970 |
Elections
No elections on file.
Committees
- MANUEL RODRIGUEZ ORELLANA - COM RES 2000 β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | MANUEL RODRIGUEZ ORELLANA - COM RES 2000 | β | candidate_committees |