DUNCAN, JOHN J
R Β· house Β· bioguide D000533
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- FEC candidate id
H6TN02030- Internal id
6a330f2f-2af5-4256-9c2e-53003dbc7ff7- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TN-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 792,639 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $72,572 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $41,271 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.2% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.470 |
| Race | White alone | 84.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 5.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.7% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 5.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.7% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 5.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 93.1% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 3.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 63.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 34.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 13.5% |
| Household | Family households | 63.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.41 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 29.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $301,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,174 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 69.4% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.7% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.1% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 88.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 76.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 13.3% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1990 | $5,130 | $615,293 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 1988 | $377,789 | $280,517 | $610,159 | $0 | $29,425 |
| 1986 | $613,089 | $408,092 | $512,878 | $0 | $0 |
| 1984 | $325,357 | $188,264 | $307,877 | $0 | $43,473 |
| 1982 | $167,336 | $121,891 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 1980 | $167,618 | $136,660 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Elections
- 1980 general house Β· TN-2 β won
- 1982 general house Β· TN-2 β won
- 1984 general house Β· TN-2 β won
- 1986 general house Β· TN-2 β won
- 1988 general house Β· TN-2 β won
Committees
No committees on file.
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Inbound (1)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-10-21 | JONES WALKER L.L.P. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | DUNCAN/HILLEARY CONGRESSIONAL CELEBRATION COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | DUNCAN FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |