CASTANEDA, RAUL JESUS
R Β· house
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H6TX16194- Internal id
e6c5fe0c-308f-44d8-8c38-38bfed0a55a4- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TX-16. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 776,702 |
| People | Median age | 34 |
| Income | Median household income | $60,388 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $29,243 |
| Income | In poverty | 18.4% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.469 |
| Race | White alone | 30.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 3.4% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 82.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 45.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 22.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 33.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 65.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 52.0% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 27.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 9.0% |
| Household | Family households | 70.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.82 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 35.8% |
| Housing | Median home value | $185,000 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,082 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 68.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 5.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 75.3% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 8.8% |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· TX-16 β running
Committees
- RAUL BULLET CASTANEDA β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | RAUL BULLET CASTANEDA | β | candidate_committees |