SELL, TOM

R · house

FEC candidate id: H6TX19206
Internal id: d2e06360-aeeb-49ac-b3b1-70863413842d
Status: open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TX-19. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	773,548
People	Median age	34
Income	Median household income	$63,608
Income	Per-capita income	$33,464
Income	In poverty	16.0%
Income	Unemployed	4.3%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.469
Race	White alone	63.0%
Race	Black alone	6.2%
Race	Asian alone	1.7%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	39.1%
Race	Two or more races	20.1%
Origin	Foreign-born	8.1%
Language	Speaks English only at home	75.3%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	21.2%
Education	High school or higher	55.0%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	25.3%
Education	Advanced degree	9.1%
Household	Family households	64.5%
Household	Avg household size	2.52
Household	Never married (15+)	35.2%
Housing	Median home value	$172,700
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,104
Housing	Single-family detached	72.0%
Housing	Built before 1940	5.5%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	3.4%
Housing	Vacant units	12.8%
Service	Veterans (18+)	5.8%
Health	With a disability	14.5%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	88.2%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	8.9%
Commute	Drove alone	78.5%
Commute	Public transit	0.4%
Commute	Worked from home	6.2%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$2,014,494	$1,343,689	$670,805	$1,500	$1,562,455

Elections

2026 general house · TX-19 — running

Committees

CONSERVATIVE TOM SELL FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2026	$908,742	$0	12

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
2026-05-12	DEFEND AMERICAN JOBS	support	$54,372	IE-Sell, Tom-Direct Mail
2026-05-08	CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC.	support	$20,849	DIRECT MAIL SERVICES
2026-05-08	GOPAC ELECTION FUND	support	$18,664	DIRECT MAIL
2026-05-05	CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC.	support	$20,849	DIRECT MAIL SERVICES
2026-03-11	AMERICAN MISSION	support	$277,636	MEDIA PLACEMENT
2026-03-09	AMERICAN MISSION	support	$301,350	MEDIA PLACEMENT / MEDIA PRODUCTION / SMS MESSAGING
2026-03-03	CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC.	support	$2,700	TEXT MESSAGE SERVICES
2026-03-03	CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC.	support	$2,700	TEXT MESSAGE SERVICES
2026-02-25	CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC.	support	$2,700	TEXT MESSAGE SERVICES
2026-02-25	CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC.	support	$2,700	TEXT MESSAGE SERVICES
2026-02-20	CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC.	support	$2,700	TEXT MESSAGE SERVICES
2026-02-18	CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC.	support	$201,521	DIGITAL ADVERTISEMENT & PRODUCTION

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2026-03-30	DAIRY FARMERS OF AMERICA, INC. POLITICAL ACTION…	24K	$5,000
2026-03-30	BEEF-PAC (BEEF POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE OF TE…	24K	$5,000
2026-03-30	THE ARKANSAS FARM BUREAU FEDERAL AG PAC	24K	$5,000
2026-03-27	JIM JORDAN FOR CONGRESS	24K	$2,000
2026-03-27	BUCKEYE LIBERTY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$5,000
2026-03-25	ELECT - THE PAC OF THE ALABAMA FARMERS FEDERATI…	24K	$2,500
2026-03-25	NATIONAL CATTLEMEN'S BEEF ASSOCIATION POLITICAL…	24K	$-5,000
2026-03-25	NATIONAL CATTLEMEN'S BEEF ASSOCIATION POLITICAL…	24K	$5,000
2026-03-25	NATIONAL CATTLEMEN'S BEEF ASSOCIATION POLITICAL…	24K	$5,000
2026-03-25	ILLINOIS AGRICULTURAL ASSOCIATION ACTIVATOR POL…	24K	$2,500
2026-03-24	KANSAS FARM BUREAU VOTERS ORG/ELECT FARM BUREAU…	24K	$1,000
2026-03-23	TEXAS CORN PAC OF THE TEXAS CORN PRODUCERS ASSO…	24K	$2,500
2026-03-23	TEXAS WHEAT PRODUCERS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACT…	24K	$2,500
2026-03-18	MEAT INSTITUTE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE ('MEA…	24K	$1,000
2026-03-18	BLANK ROME PAC	24K	$1,000
2026-03-18	NATIONAL PECAN FEDERATION INC. POLITICAL ACTION…	24K	$5,000
2026-03-18	VALLEY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$2,500
2026-03-18	DECIDING CRITICAL RACES PAC (DCR PAC)	24K	$2,500
2026-03-17	CROP INSURANCE REINSURANCE BUREAU (CIRB)-PAC	24K	$1,000
2026-03-17	RAIN AND HAIL INSURANCE SOCIETY POLITICAL ACTIO…	24K	$1,000
2026-03-17	EMMER FOR CONGRESS	24K	$2,000
2026-03-16	AGRICULTURAL RETAILERS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL AC…	24K	$2,500
2026-03-13	TEXAS FARM BUREAU AGFUND	24K	$4,800
2026-03-13	PLAINS COTTON COOPERATIVE ASSOCIATION EMPLOYEES…	24K	$2,500
2026-03-06	WESTERN PEANUT GROWERS ASSOCIATION, INC. POLITI…	24K	$5,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (99)

date	from	type	amount	source
2026-05-12	DEFEND AMERICAN JOBS	supports_independently	$54,372	fec_ies
2026-05-08	GOPAC ELECTION FUND	supports_independently	$18,664	fec_ies
2026-05-08	CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC.	supports_independently	$20,849	fec_ies
2026-05-05	CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC.	supports_independently	$20,849	fec_ies
2026-03-30	THE ARKANSAS FARM BUREAU FEDERAL AG PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-30	BEEF-PAC (BEEF POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE OF TEXAS CATTLE FEEDERS ASSOCIATION)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-30	DAIRY FARMERS OF AMERICA, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE; AKA DFA-PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-27	JIM JORDAN FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2026-03-27	BUCKEYE LIBERTY PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-25	NATIONAL CATTLEMEN'S BEEF ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (NCBA-PAC)	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2026-03-25	NATIONAL CATTLEMEN'S BEEF ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (NCBA-PAC)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-25	ILLINOIS AGRICULTURAL ASSOCIATION ACTIVATOR POLITICAL INVOLVEMENT FUND (FED) 'ACTIVATOR'/'ILLINOIS FARM BUREAU ACTIVATOR'	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2026-03-25	NATIONAL CATTLEMEN'S BEEF ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (NCBA-PAC)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-25	ELECT - THE PAC OF THE ALABAMA FARMERS FEDERATION	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2026-03-24	KANSAS FARM BUREAU VOTERS ORG/ELECT FARM BUREAU FRIENDS FUND (KS FARM BUR VOTE FBF FUND)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2026-03-23	TEXAS WHEAT PRODUCERS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2026-03-23	TEXAS CORN PAC OF THE TEXAS CORN PRODUCERS ASSOCIATION	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2026-03-18	NATIONAL PECAN FEDERATION INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (PECAN PAC)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-18	VALLEY LEADERSHIP PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2026-03-18	DECIDING CRITICAL RACES PAC (DCR PAC)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2026-03-18	MEAT INSTITUTE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE ('MEAT PAC')	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2026-03-18	BLANK ROME PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2026-03-17	CROP INSURANCE REINSURANCE BUREAU (CIRB)-PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2026-03-17	RAIN AND HAIL INSURANCE SOCIETY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2026-03-17	EMMER FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2026-03-16	AGRICULTURAL RETAILERS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2026-03-13	PLAINS COTTON COOPERATIVE ASSOCIATION EMPLOYEES' POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2026-03-13	TEXAS FARM BUREAU AGFUND	contributed_to	$4,800	pas2
2026-03-11	AMERICAN MISSION	supports_independently	$277,636	fec_ies
2026-03-09	AMERICAN MISSION	supports_independently	$301,350	fec_ies
2026-03-06	WESTERN PEANUT GROWERS ASSOCIATION, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-06	WESTERN PEANUT GROWERS ASSOCIATION, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-03	CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC.	supports_independently	$2,700	fec_ies
2026-03-03	CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC.	supports_independently	$2,700	fec_ies
2026-03-02	EMMER FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2026-02-27	THE EYE OF THE TIGER POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-02-27	KEEP TEXAS TEXAS PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2026-02-26	BUCKEYE LIBERTY PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-02-26	JIM JORDAN FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2026-02-25	CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC.	supports_independently	$2,700	fec_ies
2026-02-25	CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC.	supports_independently	$2,700	fec_ies
2026-02-25	CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC.	contributed_to	$2,700	pas2
2026-02-20	CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC.	contributed_to	$2,700	pas2
2026-02-20	CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC.	supports_independently	$2,700	fec_ies
2026-02-19	AMERICA'S CREDIT UNIONS PAC OF CREDIT UNION NATIONAL ASSOCIATION, INC.	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-02-18	CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC.	contributed_to	$201,520	pas2
2026-02-18	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-02-18	CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC.	supports_independently	$201,521	fec_ies
2026-02-17	MINN-DAK FARMERS COOPERATIVE SUGAR PAC (MDSPAC)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-02-11	KANSAS FARM BUREAU VOTERS ORG/ELECT FARM BUREAU FRIENDS FUND (KS FARM BUR VOTE FBF FUND)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2026-02-11	CONAWAY FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2026-02-10	BEEF-PAC (BEEF POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE OF TEXAS CATTLE FEEDERS ASSOCIATION)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-02-05	FARMERS' RICE COOPERATIVE FUND	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2026-01-30	NATIONAL AUTOMOBILE DEALERS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2026-01-27	PANHANDLE PEANUT GROWERS PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-01-22	USA RICE FEDERATION PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2026-01-22	TOGETHER UNITED FOR LIBERTY, INTEGRITY AND PROSPERITY PAC (TULIP PAC)	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2026-01-14	AMERICAN ASSOCIATION OF CROP INSURERS PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-01-07	REPUBLICAN MAINSTREET PARTNERSHIP PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-01-06	TEXAS CORN PAC OF THE TEXAS CORN PRODUCERS ASSOCIATION	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-01-05	TEXAS BANKERS ASSOCIATION-BANKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2026-01-02	TEXAS RICE PRODUCERS' LEGISLATIVE GROUP POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-12-29	CALIFORNIA RICE INDUSTRY ASSOCIATION FUND (CALIFORNIA RICE FUND)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2025-12-29	31 DAYS PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2025-12-24	TEXAS AND SOUTHWESTERN CATTLE RAISERS ASSOCIATION PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-12-22	MINNESOTA CORN GROWERS ASSOCIATION FEDERAL PAC	contributed_to	$3,700	pas2
2025-12-22	CROP INSURANCE PROFESSIONALS ASSOCIATION PAC-CIPA PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-12-19	TEXAS WHEAT PRODUCERS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2025-12-18	JBS USA FOOD COMPANY PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2025-12-16	US RICE PRODUCERS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (USRPA PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-12-16	AMERICAN SUGARBEET GROWERS ASSOCIATION PAC	contributed_to	$3,000	pas2
2025-12-12	THE FARM CREDIT COUNCIL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-12-11	FUTURES INDUSTRY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-12-11	USA RICE FEDERATION PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2025-12-11	AMALGAMATED SUGAR COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-12-10	AMERICAN SUGAR CANE LEAGUE OF USA, INC PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-12-10	RAPTOR PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-12-10	NATIONAL CATTLEMEN'S BEEF ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (NCBA-PAC)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-12-09	UNITED STATES PEANUT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (US PEANUT PAC)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-12-09	NATIONAL PECAN FEDERATION INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (PECAN PAC)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-12-08	FLORIDA SUGAR CANE LEAGUE PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-12-08	NATIONAL COTTON COUNCIL OF AMERICA COMMITTEE FOR THE ADVANCEMENT OF COTTON	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-12-08	CONCERNED AMERICANS FOR FREEDOM & OPPORTUNITY PAC (CAFO PAC)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-12-04	NATIONAL COUNCIL OF FARMER COOPERATIVES CO-OP/PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-12-04	CONAWAY FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-12-04	ZURICH HOLDING COMPANY OF AMERICA, INC. COMMITTEE FOR GOOD GOVERNMENT (Z-PAC, ZURICH PAC)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2025-12-04	MINN-DAK FARMERS COOPERATIVE SUGAR PAC (MDSPAC)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-12-03	FREE STATE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-12-01	RAIN AND HAIL INSURANCE SOCIETY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2025-12-01	VALLEY LEADERSHIP PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2025-11-24	SOUTHERN MINNESOTA BEET SUGAR COOPERATIVE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-11-21	PLAINS COTTON GROWERS INC. PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-11-21	PLAINS COTTON GROWERS INC. PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-11-21	FRIENDS OF GLENN THOMPSON	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2025-11-20	AMERICAN CRYSTAL SUGAR COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-11-20	AMERICAN CRYSTAL SUGAR COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-11-18	GREATER TOMORROW POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-11-18	PLAINS COTTON COOPERATIVE ASSOCIATION EMPLOYEES' POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2025-11-14	WESTERN PEANUT GROWERS ASSOCIATION, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	CONSERVATIVE TOM SELL FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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