SMITH, LAMAR
R Β· house Β· bioguide S000583
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- FEC candidate id
H6TX21012- Internal id
47c9869b-c22d-46d7-bed1-23843d64233e- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TX-21. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 810,199 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $95,646 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $53,163 |
| Income | In poverty | 8.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.467 |
| Race | White alone | 66.2% |
| Race | Black alone | 3.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 31.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 21.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 8.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 80.9% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 15.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 65.9% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 47.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 18.1% |
| Household | Family households | 66.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.47 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 27.8% |
| Housing | Median home value | $411,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,477 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 68.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 9.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 94.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 3.6% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 68.6% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 19.9% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $8,659 | $262,654 | $308,632 | $0 | $0 |
| 2018 | $660,775 | $680,605 | $562,627 | $0 | $377,068 |
| 2016 | $1,590,454 | $1,772,750 | $582,457 | $0 | $748,610 |
| 2014 | $1,455,927 | $1,567,733 | $764,753 | $0 | $686,255 |
| 2012 | $1,727,472 | $1,705,681 | $876,559 | $0 | $802,183 |
| 2010 | $1,312,958 | $1,248,308 | $854,768 | $0 | $642,905 |
| 2008 | $1,242,144 | $1,069,350 | $790,117 | $0 | $717,749 |
| 2006 | $1,458,054 | $1,674,430 | $617,323 | $0 | $839,750 |
| 2004 | $973,786 | $606,127 | $833,699 | $0 | $606,814 |
| 2002 | $789,341 | $798,993 | $466,040 | $0 | $517,490 |
| 2000 | $536,635 | $543,754 | $475,691 | $0 | $393,452 |
| 1998 | $512,975 | $531,538 | $482,813 | $0 | $356,556 |
| 1996 | $526,391 | $443,571 | $501,376 | $0 | $343,644 |
| 1994 | $546,639 | $538,347 | $428,554 | $0 | $372,210 |
| 1992 | $544,187 | $476,501 | $0 | $0 | $342,340 |
| 1990 | $609,914 | $398,008 | $358,834 | $0 | $436,306 |
| 1988 | $567,201 | $418,489 | $152,844 | $458 | $383,551 |
| 1986 | $1,036,503 | $1,032,122 | $4,379 | $106,072 | $0 |
Elections
- 1976 general house Β· TX-21 β running
- 1986 general house Β· TX-21 β won
- 1988 general house Β· TX-21 β won
- 1990 general house Β· TX-21 β won
- 1992 general house Β· TX-21 β won
- 1994 general house Β· TX-21 β won
- 1996 general house Β· TX-21 β won
- 1998 general house Β· TX-21 β won
- 2000 general house Β· TX-21 β won
- 2002 general house Β· TX-21 β won
- 2004 general house Β· TX-21 β won
- 2006 general house Β· TX-21 β won
- 2008 general house Β· TX-21 β won
- 2010 general house Β· TX-21 β won
- 2012 general house Β· TX-21 β won
- 2014 general house Β· TX-21 β won
- 2016 general house Β· TX-21 β won
- 2018 general house Β· TX-21 β lost_general
Committees
- LAMAR SMITH FOR CONGRESS β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- TEXANS FOR LAMAR SMITH β principal Β· type Q
- TEXANS FOR LAMAR SMITH β independent Β· type Q
- TEXANS FOR TEXANS β joint_fundraising Β· type H
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (4)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | independent_committee_of | TEXANS FOR LAMAR SMITH | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | LAMAR SMITH FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | TEXANS FOR TEXANS | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | TEXANS FOR LAMAR SMITH | β | candidate_committees |