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YARBROUGH, JACE

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H6TX32225
Internal id
aff2f75d-1d90-44ad-adc1-9b03c70a7060
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TX-32. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation767,505
PeopleMedian age33
IncomeMedian household income$72,034
IncomePer-capita income$43,812
IncomeIn poverty14.1%
IncomeUnemployed4.6%
IncomeGini inequality index0.483
RaceWhite alone37.5%
RaceBlack alone20.8%
RaceAsian alone8.4%
RaceHispanic or Latino36.4%
RaceTwo or more races22.6%
OriginForeign-born26.8%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home57.8%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home29.4%
EducationHigh school or higher60.4%
EducationBachelor's or higher40.7%
EducationAdvanced degree15.4%
HouseholdFamily households54.0%
HouseholdAvg household size2.38
HouseholdNever married (15+)42.6%
HousingMedian home value$347,700
HousingMedian gross rent$1,511
HousingSingle-family detached37.3%
HousingBuilt before 19402.0%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)6.1%
HousingVacant units8.8%
ServiceVeterans (18+)3.8%
HealthWith a disability9.7%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband92.4%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet5.3%
CommuteDrove alone67.2%
CommutePublic transit1.9%
CommuteWorked from home17.6%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$612,504$526,446$86,057$207,000$300,004

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2026$1,542,372$2,12525

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
2026-03-04AMERICAN MISSIONsupport$68,946MEDIA PLACEMENT / MEDIA PRODUCTION
2026-03-04AMERICAN MISSIONsupport$60,421MEDIA PLACEMENT
2026-02-23TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PACoppose$2,125text messages
2026-02-19STRONG PACsupport$29,625RADIO AD PLACEMENT
2026-02-19STRONG PACsupport$211,126TV AD PLACEMENT
2026-02-18STRONG PACsupport$36,616DIRECT MAILING SERVICE
2026-02-16STRONG PACsupport$36,616DIRECT MAILING SERVICE
2026-02-13FREEDOM CAUCUS FUNDsupport$15,100IE- YARBROUGH- DIGITAL ADVERTISING
2026-02-13STRONG PACsupport$36,616DIRECT MAILING SERVICE
2026-02-11STRONG PACsupport$2,000RADIO AD PRODUCTION
2026-02-11STRONG PACsupport$9,681TV AD PRODUCTION
2026-02-11STRONG PACsupport$1,744DIGITAL AD PRODUCTION
2026-02-10STRONG PACsupport$36,616DIRECT MAILING SERVICE
2026-02-10STRONG PACsupport$36,616DIRECT MAILING SERVICE
2026-02-10FREEDOM CAUCUS FUNDsupport$26IE- YARBROUGH - DONATION PROCESSING
2026-02-05STRONG PACsupport$119,906TV AD PLACEMENT
2026-02-04STRONG PACsupport$250,000DIGITAL AD PLACEMENT
2026-02-04STRONG PACsupport$36,616DIRECT MAILING SERVICE
2026-02-03STRONG PACsupport$88,875RADIO AD PLACEMENT
2026-02-03STRONG PACsupport$451,871TV AD PLACEMENT
2026-02-03FREEDOM CAUCUS FUNDsupport$2IE- YARBROUGH - DONATION PROCESSING
2026-02-02STRONG PACsupport$9,412TV AD PRODUCTION
2026-02-02STRONG PACsupport$1,750VIDEO PRODUCTION
2026-02-02STRONG PACsupport$2,000RADIO AD PRODUCTION
2026-01-27FREEDOM CAUCUS FUNDsupport$188IE- YARBROUGH - DONATION PROCESSING

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2026-03-31MARCHANT GOOD GOVERNMENT FUND24K$2,500
2026-03-31FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND24E$0
2026-03-27RVFPAC24K$2,000
2026-03-27BUCKEYE LIBERTY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE24K$5,000
2026-03-27JIM JORDAN FOR CONGRESS24K$2,000
2026-03-25THE GUARDIAN FUND24K$2,500
2026-03-24FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND24E$2
2026-03-18KEEP TEXAS TEXAS PAC24K$1,000
2026-03-17EMMER FOR CONGRESS24K$2,000
2026-03-17FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND24E$100
2026-03-10FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND24E$0
2026-03-10FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND24E$3
2026-03-04MIKE JOHNSON FOR LOUISIANA24K$2,000
2026-03-03FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND24E$132
2026-02-27THE EYE OF THE TIGER POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE24K$5,000
2026-02-26MIKE JOHNSON FOR LOUISIANA24K$2,000
2026-02-26JIM JORDAN FOR CONGRESS24K$2,000
2026-02-26BUCKEYE LIBERTY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE24K$5,000
2026-02-25AMERICAN REVIVAL PAC24K$5,000
2026-02-25FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND24E$702
2026-02-23MR. SOUTHERN MISSOURIAN IN THE HOUSE PAC24K$5,000
2026-02-23TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PAC24A$2,125
2026-02-19STRONG PAC24E$29,625
2026-02-19STRONG PAC24E$211,125
2026-02-18STRONG PAC24E$36,616

Connected on the graph

Inbound (79)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2026-03-31MARCHANT GOOD GOVERNMENT FUNDcontributed_to$2,500pas2
2026-03-31FREEDOM CAUCUS FUNDcontributed_to$0pas2
2026-03-27BUCKEYE LIBERTY PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2026-03-27RVFPACcontributed_to$2,000pas2
2026-03-27JIM JORDAN FOR CONGRESScontributed_to$2,000pas2
2026-03-25GUARDIAN POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$2,500pas2
2026-03-24FREEDOM CAUCUS FUNDcontributed_to$2pas2
2026-03-18KEEP TEXAS TEXAS PACcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2026-03-17FREEDOM CAUCUS FUNDcontributed_to$100pas2
2026-03-17EMMER FOR CONGRESScontributed_to$2,000pas2
2026-03-10FREEDOM CAUCUS FUNDcontributed_to$0pas2
2026-03-10FREEDOM CAUCUS FUNDcontributed_to$3pas2
2026-03-04MIKE JOHNSON FOR LOUISIANAcontributed_to$2,000pas2
2026-03-04AMERICAN MISSIONsupports_independently$60,421fec_ies
2026-03-04AMERICAN MISSIONsupports_independently$68,946fec_ies
2026-03-03FREEDOM CAUCUS FUNDcontributed_to$132pas2
2026-02-27THE EYE OF THE TIGER POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2026-02-26JIM JORDAN FOR CONGRESScontributed_to$2,000pas2
2026-02-26BUCKEYE LIBERTY PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2026-02-26MIKE JOHNSON FOR LOUISIANAcontributed_to$2,000pas2
2026-02-25FREEDOM CAUCUS FUNDcontributed_to$702pas2
2026-02-25AMERICAN REVIVAL PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2026-02-23TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PACcontributed_to$2,125pas2
2026-02-23MR. SOUTHERN MISSOURIAN IN THE HOUSE PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2026-02-23TEXAS PATH TO FREEDOM PACopposes_independently$2,125fec_ies
2026-02-19STRONG PACsupports_independently$29,625fec_ies
2026-02-19STRONG PACsupports_independently$211,126fec_ies
2026-02-19STRONG PACcontributed_to$211,125pas2
2026-02-19STRONG PACcontributed_to$29,625pas2
2026-02-18STRONG PACcontributed_to$36,616pas2
2026-02-18FREEDOM CAUCUS FUNDcontributed_to$9pas2
2026-02-18STRONG PACsupports_independently$36,616fec_ies
2026-02-18TEXAS VALUES PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2026-02-17RAPTOR PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2026-02-16STRONG PACcontributed_to$36,616pas2
2026-02-16STRONG PACsupports_independently$36,616fec_ies
2026-02-13FREEDOM CAUCUS FUNDcontributed_to$15,100pas2
2026-02-13FREEDOM CAUCUS FUNDsupports_independently$15,100fec_ies
2026-02-13STRONG PACsupports_independently$36,616fec_ies
2026-02-13BIG IDEAS CREATE EXCELLENCE PACcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2026-02-13STRONG PACcontributed_to$36,616pas2
2026-02-12FIRST IN FREEDOM PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2026-02-11STRONG PACsupports_independently$2,000fec_ies
2026-02-11STRONG PACsupports_independently$1,744fec_ies
2026-02-11STRONG PACsupports_independently$9,681fec_ies
2026-02-11STRONG PACcontributed_to$2,000pas2
2026-02-11STRONG PACcontributed_to$1,744pas2
2026-02-11STRONG PACcontributed_to$9,681pas2
2026-02-10STRONG PACsupports_independently$36,616fec_ies
2026-02-10STRONG PACcontributed_to$36,616pas2
2026-02-10FREEDOM CAUCUS FUNDsupports_independently$26fec_ies
2026-02-10FREEDOM CAUCUS FUNDcontributed_to$26pas2
2026-02-10STRONG PACcontributed_to$36,616pas2
2026-02-10STRONG PACsupports_independently$36,616fec_ies
2026-02-09ELECTING MAJORITY MAKING EFFECTIVE REPUBLICANS PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2026-02-09EMMER FOR CONGRESScontributed_to$2,000pas2
2026-02-06FREEDOM CAUCUS FUNDcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2026-02-05STRONG PACcontributed_to$119,906pas2
2026-02-05STRONG PACsupports_independently$119,906fec_ies
2026-02-04STRONG PACsupports_independently$36,616fec_ies
2026-02-04STRONG PACsupports_independently$250,000fec_ies
2026-02-04STRONG PACcontributed_to$36,616pas2
2026-02-04STRONG PACcontributed_to$250,000pas2
2026-02-03STRONG PACsupports_independently$88,875fec_ies
2026-02-03STRONG PACcontributed_to$88,875pas2
2026-02-03STRONG PACcontributed_to$451,870pas2
2026-02-03STRONG PACsupports_independently$451,871fec_ies
2026-02-03FREEDOM CAUCUS FUNDcontributed_to$2pas2
2026-02-03FREEDOM CAUCUS FUNDsupports_independently$2fec_ies
2026-02-02STRONG PACsupports_independently$1,750fec_ies
2026-02-02STRONG PACsupports_independently$9,412fec_ies
2026-02-02STRONG PACcontributed_to$9,412pas2
2026-02-02STRONG PACcontributed_to$1,750pas2
2026-02-02STRONG PACcontributed_to$2,000pas2
2026-02-02STRONG PACsupports_independently$2,000fec_ies
2026-01-29DYKEMA GOSSETT FEDERAL PACcontributed_to$500pas2
2026-01-27FREEDOM CAUCUS FUNDsupports_independently$188fec_ies
2026-01-27FREEDOM CAUCUS FUNDcontributed_to$188pas2
2025-12-17FREEDOM FIRST PACcontributed_to$1,000pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofJACE YARBROUGH FOR CONGRESSβ€”candidate_committees

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