BROWN, SHAUN DENISE

D · house

FEC candidate id: H6VA02115
Internal id: e3bd84aa-621e-4d26-a134-f77479d36a4c
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), VA-02. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	787,890
People	Median age	39
Income	Median household income	$93,757
Income	Per-capita income	$47,696
Income	In poverty	8.5%
Income	Unemployed	3.9%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.433
Race	White alone	60.2%
Race	Black alone	22.4%
Race	Asian alone	5.4%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	7.9%
Race	Two or more races	9.2%
Origin	Foreign-born	7.6%
Language	Speaks English only at home	89.8%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	4.1%
Education	High school or higher	62.5%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	38.7%
Education	Advanced degree	14.9%
Household	Family households	68.2%
Household	Avg household size	2.52
Household	Never married (15+)	30.3%
Housing	Median home value	$377,200
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,647
Housing	Single-family detached	63.1%
Housing	Built before 1940	2.0%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.2%
Housing	Vacant units	8.1%
Service	Veterans (18+)	15.2%
Health	With a disability	12.8%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	92.8%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	5.1%
Commute	Drove alone	75.2%
Commute	Public transit	0.6%
Commute	Worked from home	13.4%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$0	$0	$65	$5,380	$0
2024	$0	$0	$65	$5,380	$0
2022	$70	$0	$65	$5,380	$70
2020	$-674,132	$-674,157	$25	$5,380	$25
2018	$716,689	$717,225	$14	$5,380	$5,084
2016	$32,646	$33,849	$4	$3,050	$28,314

Elections

2016 general house · VA-2 — lost_general
2018 general house · VA-2 — lost_general

Committees

SHAUN BROWN FOR VIRGINIA — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2021-12-15	UAW - V - CAP (UAW VOLUNTARY COMMUNITY ACTION P…	24K	$5,000
2021-03-31	UAW - V - CAP (UAW VOLUNTARY COMMUNITY ACTION P…	24K	$5,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (4)

date	from	type	amount	role	source
2021-12-15	UAW - V - CAP (UAW VOLUNTARY COMMUNITY ACTION PROGRAM) 'INT'L UNION UNITED AUTOMOBILE AEROSPACE & AGRICULTURAL IMPLEMENT WORKERS OF AMERICA UAW	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$5,000	24K	fec_pas2
2021-12-15	UAW - V - CAP (UAW VOLUNTARY COMMUNITY ACTION PROGRAM) 'INT'L UNION UNITED AUTOMOBILE AEROSPACE & AGRICULTURAL IMPLEMENT WORKERS OF AMERICA UAW	contributed_to	$5,000		pas2
2021-03-31	UAW - V - CAP (UAW VOLUNTARY COMMUNITY ACTION PROGRAM) 'INT'L UNION UNITED AUTOMOBILE AEROSPACE & AGRICULTURAL IMPLEMENT WORKERS OF AMERICA UAW	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$5,000	24K	fec_pas2
2021-03-31	UAW - V - CAP (UAW VOLUNTARY COMMUNITY ACTION PROGRAM) 'INT'L UNION UNITED AUTOMOBILE AEROSPACE & AGRICULTURAL IMPLEMENT WORKERS OF AMERICA UAW	contributed_to	$5,000		pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	SHAUN BROWN FOR VIRGINIA	—		candidate_committees

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