PEKARSKY, STELLA

D · house

FEC candidate id: H6VA11074
Internal id: 070db84e-fc13-4123-86b6-f6e0535e6575
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), VA-11. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	785,090
People	Median age	39
Income	Median household income	$160,992
Income	Per-capita income	$73,187
Income	In poverty	5.1%
Income	Unemployed	4.0%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.411
Race	White alone	50.3%
Race	Black alone	8.5%
Race	Asian alone	22.3%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	14.8%
Race	Two or more races	12.8%
Origin	Foreign-born	30.7%
Language	Speaks English only at home	61.8%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	11.1%
Education	High school or higher	78.9%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	68.3%
Education	Advanced degree	34.2%
Household	Family households	70.6%
Household	Avg household size	2.74
Household	Never married (15+)	31.8%
Housing	Median home value	$731,100
Housing	Median gross rent	$2,367
Housing	Single-family detached	44.7%
Housing	Built before 1940	0.6%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.8%
Housing	Vacant units	3.3%
Service	Veterans (18+)	7.4%
Health	With a disability	7.4%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	97.4%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	1.3%
Commute	Drove alone	55.1%
Commute	Public transit	4.0%
Commute	Worked from home	30.3%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$398,266	$395,327	$2,939	$250,000	$128,866

Elections

2026 general house · VA-11 — running

Committees

STELLA FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2026	$161,498	$0	7

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
2025-06-17	SD PAC	support	$7,670	Direct Mail Advertising
2025-06-12	SD PAC	support	$6,870	Direct Mail Advertising
2025-06-11	SD PAC	support	$72,500	TV Advertising
2025-06-11	SD PAC	support	$26,966	Direct Mail Advertising
2025-06-11	SD PAC	support	$12,000	TV Production
2025-06-11	SD PAC	support	$28,622	Direct Mail Advertising
2025-06-11	SD PAC	support	$6,870	Direct Mail Advertising

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
—	PROTECT PROGRESS	24A	$327
—	PROTECT PROGRESS	24A	$9,914
2025-10-17	INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS…	24K	$-5,000
2025-07-01	PROTECT PROGRESS	24A	$9,914
2025-07-01	PROTECT PROGRESS	24A	$327
2025-07-01	OVERSIGHT ACTION FUND	24A	$2,100
2025-07-01	OVERSIGHT ACTION FUND	24A	$500
2025-06-25	OVERSIGHT ACTION FUND	24A	$2,100
2025-06-25	OVERSIGHT ACTION FUND	24A	$500
2025-06-24	OVERSIGHT ACTION FUND	24A	$630
2025-06-23	FREE AND FAIR DEMOCRACY PAC	24K	$2,500
2025-06-23	AMALGAMATED TRANSIT UNION - COPE	24K	$5,000
2025-06-17	SD PAC	24E	$7,669
2025-06-13	INTERNATIONAL UNION OF PAINTERS AND ALLIED TRAD…	24K	$1,000
2025-06-12	SD PAC	24E	$6,869
2025-06-11	INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS…	24K	$5,000
2025-06-11	SD PAC	24E	$6,869
2025-06-11	SD PAC	24E	$26,966
2025-06-11	SD PAC	24E	$28,622
2025-06-11	SD PAC	24E	$72,500
2025-06-11	SD PAC	24E	$12,000
2025-06-11	INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS…	24K	$5,000
2025-05-13	SD PAC	24K	$5,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (30)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	PROTECT PROGRESS	contributed_to	$9,914	pas2
—	PROTECT PROGRESS	contributed_to	$327	pas2
2025-10-17	INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2025-07-01	OVERSIGHT ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2025-07-01	PROTECT PROGRESS	contributed_to	$9,914	pas2
2025-07-01	PROTECT PROGRESS	contributed_to	$327	pas2
2025-07-01	OVERSIGHT ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$2,100	pas2
2025-06-25	OVERSIGHT ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$2,100	pas2
2025-06-25	OVERSIGHT ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2025-06-24	OVERSIGHT ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$630	pas2
2025-06-23	AMALGAMATED TRANSIT UNION - COPE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-06-23	FREE AND FAIR DEMOCRACY PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2025-06-17	SD PAC	contributed_to	$7,669	pas2
2025-06-17	SD PAC	supports_independently	$7,670	fec_ies
2025-06-13	INTERNATIONAL UNION OF PAINTERS AND ALLIED TRADES POLITICAL ACTION TOGETHER POLITICAL COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-06-12	SD PAC	contributed_to	$6,869	pas2
2025-06-12	SD PAC	supports_independently	$6,870	fec_ies
2025-06-11	SD PAC	supports_independently	$26,966	fec_ies
2025-06-11	SD PAC	supports_independently	$12,000	fec_ies
2025-06-11	INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-06-11	SD PAC	contributed_to	$6,869	pas2
2025-06-11	SD PAC	contributed_to	$26,966	pas2
2025-06-11	SD PAC	contributed_to	$28,622	pas2
2025-06-11	SD PAC	contributed_to	$72,500	pas2
2025-06-11	SD PAC	contributed_to	$12,000	pas2
2025-06-11	SD PAC	supports_independently	$28,622	fec_ies
2025-06-11	SD PAC	supports_independently	$72,500	fec_ies
2025-06-11	INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-06-11	SD PAC	supports_independently	$6,870	fec_ies
2025-05-13	SD PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	STELLA FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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