DAY, ISAAC
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6VA11181- Internal id
b9871c10-d7e6-4dbf-92c1-e3a305eb7196- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), VA-11. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 785,090 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $160,992 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $73,187 |
| Income | In poverty | 5.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.411 |
| Race | White alone | 50.3% |
| Race | Black alone | 8.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 22.3% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 14.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 12.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 30.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 61.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 11.1% |
| Education | High school or higher | 78.9% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 68.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 34.2% |
| Household | Family households | 70.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.74 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.8% |
| Housing | Median home value | $731,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,367 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 44.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 0.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 3.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.4% |
| Health | With a disability | 7.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 97.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 1.3% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 55.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 4.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 30.3% |
Elections
- 2025 general house Β· VA-11 β running
Committees
- THE PEOPLE FOR ISAAC DAY β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | THE PEOPLE FOR ISAAC DAY | β | candidate_committees |