WELCH, PETER

D · house

FEC candidate id: H6VT00160
Internal id: e86a6b95-38e2-47e8-88c4-a8e8e2220405
Status: incumbent

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2024	$9,423	$41,465	$0	$0	$0
2022	$291,891	$2,367,156	$32,041	$0	$80,547
2020	$852,094	$869,591	$2,107,741	$0	$274,690
2018	$866,354	$670,612	$2,125,238	$0	$190,962
2016	$1,018,958	$779,037	$1,929,496	$0	$286,227
2014	$1,151,257	$700,783	$1,689,575	$0	$392,521
2012	$950,026	$669,593	$1,239,101	$0	$398,117
2010	$1,027,181	$698,547	$958,669	$0	$506,927
2008	$956,128	$654,443	$630,036	$0	$634,376
2006	$2,066,313	$1,737,961	$328,351	$0	$1,445,841

Elections

No elections on file.

Committees

SEND BERNIE AND PETER TO WASHINGTON 2006 — joint_fundraising · type H
WELCH FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 99.0%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
incumbent	+78.0%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2025-09-09	DAIRY FARMERS OF AMERICA, INC. POLITICAL ACTION…	24K	$2,500
2022-11-30	AHOLD DELHAIZE USA, INC POLITICAL ACTION COMMIT…	24K	$-1,500
2022-11-03	AMERICAN FEDERATION OF GOVT. EMPL. POLITICAL AC…	24K	$-1,000
2022-10-15	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF SPECIALTY PHARMACY PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-10-13	NELSON MULLINS RILEY & SCARBOROUGH, LLP FEDERAL…	24K	$1,000
2022-10-13	AMERICAN FEDERATION OF GOVT. EMPL. POLITICAL AC…	24K	$1,000
2022-10-10	AHOLD DELHAIZE USA, INC POLITICAL ACTION COMMIT…	24K	$1,500
2022-09-30	JACKSON HOLDINGS LLC AND JACKSON NATIONAL LIFE …	24K	$-1,000
2022-09-28	U.S. TRAVEL ASSOCIATION PAC	24K	$2,500
2022-09-27	UNITED MINE WORKERS OF AMERICA - COAL MINERS PO…	24K	$1,000
2022-09-26	AMERICAN AMBULANCE ASSOCIATION FEDERAL PAC (AKA…	24K	$1,000
2022-09-26	NATIONAL CONFECTIONERS ASSOCIATION OF THE UNITE…	24K	$2,500
2022-09-20	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF BROADCASTERS POLITICAL …	24K	$5,000
2022-09-15	BLOOMIN' BRANDS, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$5,000
2022-09-12	DEMOCRATS RESHAPING AMERICA (DREAMPAC)	24K	$1,500
2022-09-08	DUKE ENERGY CORPORATION EMPLOYEE POLITICAL ACTI…	24K	$-3,000
2022-09-08	DAIRY FARMERS OF AMERICA, INC. POLITICAL ACTION…	24K	$3,000
2022-08-15	SUGAR CANE GROWERS COOPERATIVE OF FLORIDA (PAC)	24K	$500
2022-08-08	AMALGAMATED SUGAR COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION COMM…	24K	$2,500
2022-08-02	MICHIGAN SUGAR COMPANY GROWERS POLITICAL ACTION…	24K	$1,500
2022-07-14	VENABLE PAC (VEN-PAC)	24K	$1,000
2022-07-13	MINN-DAK FARMERS COOPERATIVE SUGAR PAC (MDSPAC)	24K	$1,000
2022-06-30	AMERICAN SUGAR CANE LEAGUE OF USA, INC PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-06-28	DAIRY FARMERS OF AMERICA, INC. POLITICAL ACTION…	24K	$2,000
2022-06-07	NATIONAL BEER WHOLESALERS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL…	24K	$2,500

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

date	from	type	amount	source
2025-09-09	DAIRY FARMERS OF AMERICA, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE; AKA DFA-PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-11-30	AHOLD DELHAIZE USA, INC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-1,500	pas2
2022-11-03	AMERICAN FEDERATION OF GOVT. EMPL. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-10-15	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF SPECIALTY PHARMACY PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-13	NELSON MULLINS RILEY & SCARBOROUGH, LLP FEDERAL POLITICAL COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-13	AMERICAN FEDERATION OF GOVT. EMPL. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-10	AHOLD DELHAIZE USA, INC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-09-30	JACKSON HOLDINGS LLC AND JACKSON NATIONAL LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY FEDERAL SSF (JACKSON NATIONAL FEDER	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-09-28	U.S. TRAVEL ASSOCIATION PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-09-27	UNITED MINE WORKERS OF AMERICA - COAL MINERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-09-26	NATIONAL CONFECTIONERS ASSOCIATION OF THE UNITED STATES, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (CANDY PAC)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-09-26	AMERICAN AMBULANCE ASSOCIATION FEDERAL PAC (AKA AMBU-PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-09-20	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF BROADCASTERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (NABPAC)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-09-15	BLOOMIN' BRANDS, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-09-12	DEMOCRATS RESHAPING AMERICA (DREAMPAC)	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-09-08	DUKE ENERGY CORPORATION EMPLOYEE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (DUKEPAC)	contributed_to	$-3,000	pas2
2022-09-08	DAIRY FARMERS OF AMERICA, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE; AKA DFA-PAC	contributed_to	$3,000	pas2
2022-08-15	SUGAR CANE GROWERS COOPERATIVE OF FLORIDA (PAC)	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2022-08-08	AMALGAMATED SUGAR COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-08-02	MICHIGAN SUGAR COMPANY GROWERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-07-14	VENABLE PAC (VEN-PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-07-13	MINN-DAK FARMERS COOPERATIVE SUGAR PAC (MDSPAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-06-30	AMERICAN SUGAR CANE LEAGUE OF USA, INC PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-06-28	DAIRY FARMERS OF AMERICA, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE; AKA DFA-PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-06-07	NATIONAL BEER WHOLESALERS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-05-19	U.S. TRAVEL ASSOCIATION PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-05-16	INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF SHEET METAL, AIR, RAIL AND TRANSPORTATION WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION LEAGUE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-04-25	MACHINISTS NON PARTISAN POLITICAL LEAGUE OF THE INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF MACHINISTS & AEROSPACE WORKERS	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2022-04-05	RETAIL INDUSTRY LEADERS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE AKA RETAIL LEADERS PAC	contributed_to	$-2,000	pas2
2022-03-29	AMERICAN COUNCIL OF ENGINEERING COMPANIES (ACEC/PAC)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-03-28	MACHINISTS NON PARTISAN POLITICAL LEAGUE OF THE INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF MACHINISTS & AEROSPACE WORKERS	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-03-25	THE FARM CREDIT COUNCIL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-03-24	AMERICAN AMBULANCE ASSOCIATION FEDERAL PAC (AKA AMBU-PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-03-22	AMERICAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-03-21	PERIMETER PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-03-14	UAW - V - CAP (UAW VOLUNTARY COMMUNITY ACTION PROGRAM) 'INT'L UNION UNITED AUTOMOBILE AEROSPACE & AGRICULTURAL IMPLEMENT WORKERS OF AMERICA UAW	contributed_to	$4,000	pas2
2022-03-07	AMERICAN AMBULANCE ASSOCIATION FEDERAL PAC (AKA AMBU-PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-02-18	SHEET METAL & AIR CONDITIONING CONTRACTORS' NATIONAL ASSOC., INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-1,500	pas2
2022-02-18	SHEET METAL & AIR CONDITIONING CONTRACTORS' NATIONAL ASSOC., INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-02-08	AMERICAN FEDERATION OF STATE COUNTY & MUNICIPAL EMPLOYEES P E O P L E	contributed_to	$-2,500	pas2
2022-02-03	CHERPAC	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-01-21	ARRAY DIGITAL INFRASTRUCTURE, INC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2022-01-21	BARNES & THORNBURG POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-01-21	BARNES & THORNBURG POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-1,500	pas2
2022-01-19	NATIONAL COMMUNITY PHARMACISTS ASSOCIATION - PAC	contributed_to	$-2,500	pas2
2022-01-18	EXELON CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-01-04	TED LIEU FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-01-03	RETAIL INDUSTRY LEADERS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE AKA RETAIL LEADERS PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2021-12-31	NATIONAL BEER WHOLESALERS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-2,500	pas2
2021-12-27	DUKE ENERGY CORPORATION EMPLOYEE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (DUKEPAC)	contributed_to	$3,000	pas2
2021-12-22	JACKSON HOLDINGS LLC AND JACKSON NATIONAL LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY FEDERAL SSF (JACKSON NATIONAL FEDER	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-12-20	CHERPAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-12-17	JAMIE RASKIN FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2021-12-17	NATIONAL COMMUNITY PHARMACISTS ASSOCIATION - PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-12-15	AMERICAN FEDERATION OF STATE COUNTY & MUNICIPAL EMPLOYEES P E O P L E	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-12-14	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF BROADCASTERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (NABPAC)	contributed_to	$3,000	pas2
2021-12-13	U.S. TRAVEL ASSOCIATION PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-12-08	UNITED MINE WORKERS OF AMERICA - COAL MINERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$4,000	pas2
2021-12-08	DEMOCRATS RESHAPING AMERICA (DREAMPAC)	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2021-12-03	BARNES & THORNBURG POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2021-11-30	CARPENTERS LEGISLATIVE IMPROVEMENT COMMITTEE UNITED BROTHERHOOD OF CARPENTERS AND JOINERS	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2021-11-29	REVIVING AMERICAN JOBS AGAIN PAC	contributed_to	$1,501	pas2
2021-11-16	ALSTON & BIRD PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-11-16	FILEMON VELA FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2021-11-15	SHEET METAL & AIR CONDITIONING CONTRACTORS' NATIONAL ASSOC., INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-11-15	SHEET METAL & AIR CONDITIONING CONTRACTORS' NATIONAL ASSOC., INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2021-11-11	NATIONAL BEER WHOLESALERS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-11-10	EXELON CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-11-09	AECOM PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-11-03	THE FARM CREDIT COUNCIL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$221	pas2
2021-10-28	HANNON ARMSTRONG CAPITAL, LLC CLIMATE SOLUTIONS PAC (AKA HANNON ARMSTRONG CLIMATE SOLUTIONS PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-10-28	THE FARM CREDIT COUNCIL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-10-22	AFLAC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (AFLAC PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-10-11	SIEMENS CORPORATION PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-09-30	ALLIED PILOTS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-09-30	BEST BUY CO., INC. EMPLOYEE POLITICAL FORUM	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-09-29	AMERICAN FEDERATION OF STATE COUNTY & MUNICIPAL EMPLOYEES P E O P L E	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-09-28	LIBERTY MUTUAL INSURANCE COMPANY - PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-09-27	PROGRESSIVE TURNOUT PROJECT	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2021-09-27	INT'L ASSOCIATION OF BRIDGE, STRUCTURAL, ORNAMENTAL AND REINFORCING IRON WORKERS (IPAL)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-09-24	BY FARMERS, FOR FARMERS PAC LAND O'LAKES, INC. PAC (BY FARMERS, FOR FARMERS PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-09-23	INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF BOILERMAKERS CAMPAIGN ASSISTANCE FUND	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2021-09-22	AIR LINE PILOTS ASSOCIATION PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-09-21	HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2021-09-21	HANNON ARMSTRONG CAPITAL, LLC CLIMATE SOLUTIONS PAC (AKA HANNON ARMSTRONG CLIMATE SOLUTIONS PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-09-21	HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-09-21	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF SPECIALTY PHARMACY PAC	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2021-09-21	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF SPECIALTY PHARMACY PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-09-21	HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2021-09-21	THE HOME DEPOT INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2021-09-19	NATIONAL MILK PRODUCERS FEDERATION PAC (NMPF PAC)	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2021-09-17	DAIRY FARMERS OF AMERICA, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE; AKA DFA-PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-09-16	NATIONAL BEER WHOLESALERS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-08-24	JOHNSON CONTROLS INC. PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-08-03	NATIONAL AIR TRAFFIC CONTROLLERS ASSOCIATION PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-07-15	NATIONAL RURAL ELECTRIC COOPERATIVE ASSOCIATION AMERICA'S ELECTRIC COOPERATIVES PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-06-30	AMERICA'S ESSENTIAL HOSPITALS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE, (ESSENTIAL HOSPITALS PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-06-29	U.S. TRAVEL ASSOCIATION PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-06-29	BASF CORPORATION EMPLOYEES POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-06-29	NATIONAL AUTOMOBILE DEALERS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2

Outbound (2)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	SEND BERNIE AND PETER TO WASHINGTON 2006	—		candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	WELCH FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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