KINCAID, BENJAMIN
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6WA01238- Internal id
ffe2c52b-563e-429e-87e4-3e7219e18546- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), WA-01. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 783,828 |
| People | Median age | 38 |
| Income | Median household income | $134,799 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $71,907 |
| Income | In poverty | 6.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.457 |
| Race | White alone | 59.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 2.6% |
| Race | Asian alone | 21.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 10.1% |
| Race | Two or more races | 10.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 26.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 69.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 6.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 68.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 53.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 22.3% |
| Household | Family households | 66.9% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.55 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 29.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $834,300 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,308 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 58.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.5% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 4.5% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.4% |
| Health | With a disability | 10.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 95.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 2.4% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 57.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 3.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 27.6% |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· WA-1 β running
Committees
- KINCAID FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | KINCAID FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |