BRAUN, JOHN

R · house

FEC candidate id: H6WA03275
Internal id: 3cc3beac-a4f6-4bf3-84da-4c86fe99c558
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), WA-03. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	788,069
People	Median age	41
Income	Median household income	$90,428
Income	Per-capita income	$45,092
Income	In poverty	9.3%
Income	Unemployed	5.3%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.434
Race	White alone	77.8%
Race	Black alone	1.7%
Race	Asian alone	3.8%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	11.7%
Race	Two or more races	11.1%
Origin	Foreign-born	8.9%
Language	Speaks English only at home	86.3%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	6.6%
Education	High school or higher	55.4%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	28.9%
Education	Advanced degree	10.5%
Household	Family households	66.5%
Household	Avg household size	2.58
Household	Never married (15+)	29.4%
Housing	Median home value	$474,300
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,605
Housing	Single-family detached	68.7%
Housing	Built before 1940	4.0%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	3.1%
Housing	Vacant units	6.8%
Service	Veterans (18+)	8.9%
Health	With a disability	15.5%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	92.9%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	4.9%
Commute	Drove alone	71.2%
Commute	Public transit	0.8%
Commute	Worked from home	16.5%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$1,196,446	$278,507	$917,940	$600	$1,107,540

Elections

2026 general house · WA-3 — running

Committees

JOHN BRAUN FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2026	$0	$55,000	1

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
2026-03-20	TOGETHER FOR WORKING PEOPLE	oppose	$55,000	Digital Media Placement

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2026-03-31	TIMBERLINE PAC	24K	$3,500
2026-03-31	TIMBERLINE PAC	24K	$3,500
2026-03-30	OVER THE TARGET PAC	24K	$3,500
2026-03-25	GROWING OUR OWN DYNAMIC ECONOMY NOW	24K	$3,500
2026-03-24	BOLD ACTION PAC	24K	$3,500
2026-03-24	BOLD ACTION PAC	24K	$3,500
2026-03-20	MVL PAC	24K	$3,500
2026-03-20	VITORIA PAC	24K	$3,500
2026-03-19	AUTOMOTIVE FREE INTERNATIONAL TRADE PAC	24K	$5,000
2026-03-11	HEAL AMERICA	24K	$1,000
2026-03-09	HAMPTON LUMBER MILLS, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COM…	24K	$1,000
2026-02-26	OREGON FRONTIER PAC	24K	$1,000
2026-02-25	MIKE HARIDOPOLOS FOR CONGRESS	24K	$2,000
2026-02-19	SEAL PAC SUPPORTING ELECTING AMERICAN LEADERS P…	24K	$5,000
2026-02-06	NATIONAL SHOOTING SPORTS FOUNDATION, INC. POLIT…	24K	$1,000
2026-02-05	NEW ENERGY IN WASHINGTON HOUSE PAC (N.E.W. HOUS…	24K	$2,070
2026-01-29	DAN NEWHOUSE FOR CONGRESS	24K	$2,000
2026-01-29	DAN NEWHOUSE FOR CONGRESS	24K	$2,000
2025-12-18	ASSOCIATED BUILDERS AND CONTRACTORS, INC. POLIT…	24K	$5,000
2025-09-29	BAUM PAC	24K	$3,500
2025-08-21	GOPAC ELECTION FUND	24K	$5,000

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee JOHN BRAUN FOR CONGRESS.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

Donor	Employer / occupation	City, ST	Gifts	Total
KOELSCH, OLIVIA	KOELSCH · SOCIAL WORKER	OLYMPIA, WA	2	$10,791
LEMMONS, DALE	SIGNATURE TRANSPORT INC · BUSINESS OWNER	KELSO, WA	1	$1,041
CLARKE, BILL	BC ATTORNEY & GA · ATTORNEY	OLYMPIA, WA	1	$1,041
CONNER, CHARLES	NONE · RETIRED	RENTON, WA	1	$1,041
CSERNOTTA, JOHN	INTERSTATE HONDA · AUTO DEALER	CHEHALIS, WA	1	$1,041
ROE, JEFF	PREMERA BLUE CROSS · PRESIDENT/CEO	SEATTLE, WA	1	$1,041
HAGLUND, CARL	COLUMBIA MODERN LIVING · HOUSING PROVIDER	SEATTLE, WA	1	$1,041
STUART, JEFF	BERKADIA · COMMERCIAL MORTGAGE BANKER	BELLEVUE, WA	1	$520
BARLOW, H.	NONE · RETIRED	MERCER ISLAND, WA	1	$500
MCCLINTOCK, STEPHANIE	UNITED GRAIN · PUBLIC AFFAIRS	VANCOUVER, WA	1	$416
DONNELLY, ANN	NONE · RETIRED	VANCOUVER, WA	1	$400
SWEENEY, JOHN	SEATTLE GYMNASTICS · CHAIRMAN	EVERETT, WA	1	$260
DILWORTH, JIM	NONE · RETIRED	VANCOUVER, WA	1	$260
GREENE, KHRISTOPHER	SELF EMPLOYED · INSURANCE AGENT	VANCOUVER, WA	1	$260
SIGALL, BETH	LAKE WASHINGTON SCHOOL DISTRICT · SPECIAL EDUCATION PARAEDUCATOR	REDMOND, WA	1	$260
ALLEN, MURVIN	NONE · RETIRED	ENUMCLAW, WA	1	$250
HEIN, TIMOTHY	SYNERGY SPINE SOLUTIONS · MEDICAL DEVICE SALES	CAMAS, WA	1	$208
NOVAK, LOUIS	NONE · RETIRED	KENMORE, WA	1	$146
BENNETT, RUTH B	NONE · RETIRED	VANCOUVER, WA	1	$50

Connected on the graph

Inbound (22)

date	from	type	amount	source
2026-03-31	TIMBERLINE PAC	contributed_to	$3,500	pas2
2026-03-31	TIMBERLINE PAC	contributed_to	$3,500	pas2
2026-03-30	OVER THE TARGET PAC	contributed_to	$3,500	pas2
2026-03-25	GROWING OUR OWN DYNAMIC ECONOMY NOW	contributed_to	$3,500	pas2
2026-03-24	BOLD ACTION PAC	contributed_to	$3,500	pas2
2026-03-24	BOLD ACTION PAC	contributed_to	$3,500	pas2
2026-03-20	MVL PAC	contributed_to	$3,500	pas2
2026-03-20	VITORIA PAC	contributed_to	$3,500	pas2
2026-03-20	TOGETHER FOR WORKING PEOPLE	opposes_independently	$55,000	fec_ies
2026-03-19	AUTOMOTIVE FREE INTERNATIONAL TRADE PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-11	HEAL AMERICA	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2026-03-09	HAMPTON LUMBER MILLS, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (HAMPTON LUMBER PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2026-02-26	OREGON FRONTIER PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2026-02-25	MIKE HARIDOPOLOS FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2026-02-19	SEAL PAC SUPPORTING ELECTING AMERICAN LEADERS PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-02-06	NATIONAL SHOOTING SPORTS FOUNDATION, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (NSSF PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2026-02-05	NEW ENERGY IN WASHINGTON HOUSE PAC (N.E.W. HOUSE PAC)	contributed_to	$2,070	pas2
2026-01-29	DAN NEWHOUSE FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2026-01-29	DAN NEWHOUSE FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2025-12-18	ASSOCIATED BUILDERS AND CONTRACTORS, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (ABC PAC)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-09-29	BAUM PAC	contributed_to	$3,500	pas2
2025-08-21	GOPAC ELECTION FUND	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	JOHN BRAUN FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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