CHAPMAN, FRANK
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6WY01157- Internal id
a1071fb6-e35e-46b2-a941-dcda77035937- Status
- open seat
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $561,783 | $54,250 | $507,533 | $560,000 | $1,782 |
Elections
No elections on file.
Committees
- CHAPMAN FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1,100,000 | $0 | 2 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | FIGHTING FOR WYOMING | support | $1,000,000 | Advertising |
| 2026-04-30 | FIGHTING FOR WYOMING | support | $100,000 | Advertising |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (2)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | FIGHTING FOR WYOMING | supports_independently | $1,000,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-04-30 | FIGHTING FOR WYOMING | supports_independently | $100,000 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | CHAPMAN FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |